Today's Republican Primary is possibly the most important yet. If John McCain wins it will give him a huge boost for Super Tuesday, but if he doesn't the pundits will interpret it as his campaign stalling. A Mike Huckabee victory would mean him having to be taken seriously by everyone, including the likes of me. And we shouldn't rule it out. There is a big religious vote in South Carolina, which he is best equipped to tap. But perhaps the biggest consequence of a Huckabee victory over McCain would be the size of the smile on Rudy Giuliani's face. He has his first big test next week in Florida. If McCain is derailed in South Caroline, Giuliani will feel that he has Florida in the bag. However, Giuliani's campaign so far has been shambolic, and been a huge disappointment to his supporters (of whom I am one). He needs to win in Florida and win big, if he is to do what he needs to on February 5th.
UPDATE: Mitt Romney has just won the Nevada Caucuses.