The Tories are clinging on to their double-digit lead over Labour, according to a poll published tonight. The ICM survey for the Sunday Mirror found the Conservatives still 11 points ahead of Labour - suggesting talk of a 2009 general election may be premature. It put the Conservatives on 42% (down one since last month), Labour on 31% (up one) and the Liberal Democrats on 19% (up one).
It was ridiculous for commentators to interpret the 3% lead in the MORI poll as the turnaround for Brown. One poll. Yes, the Tory lead has fallen since the summer, but ICM, ComRes and YouGov are fairly consistent in showing a lead of 8-13 points. The polling community continues to be suspicious about MORI's methodology.
Tory supporters should not get downcast about the odd poll showing a narrowing lead. I'd happily settle for a ten point lead IN ADVANCE of a recession which will be much longer and deeper than most are predicting. I don't say that with any relish at all.
UPDATE: More HERE from UK Polling Report.