7.00pm I'm at the Observer fringe meeting with Vince Cable, Jeremy Browne and Susan Kramer. They all agree that Conservative campaigning techniques have improved leaps and bounds and that Tory In Touches are now often better than Focus leaflets.
7.10pm Susan Kramer believes that these foundations were laid by IDS. It is quite clear that their only way of attacking David Cameron is to attack the Conservative Party itself as nasty, vicious and selfish. They will grudgingly admit that he is a fresh face but will chant a mantra that he can't carry his Party with him.
7.15pm Jesus, they're now talking about creating a LibDem Cabinet. Delusional. Oh, hang on, in a shock statement Jeremy Browne says Vince Cable won't be in a LibDem Cabinet - shock horror. The nation can rest easy.
7.25pm Browne says the tax vote today gives the Libdems increased credibility.
7.30pm Cable says it's difficult for Ming to get the same level of visibility as Cameron. He believes Ming will get more zing given time. Kramer calls Cameron a store front dummy. Likens Cameron to George W Bush and Tony Blair. Eh? Ming is better the more you see him.
7.35pm Jeremy Browne says "The last thing we should do is put the zing into Ming". The media over-emphasises the cult of youth.
7.40 Audience member says panel is complacent about Cameron. Says Cameron is clever and cleverer than most Libdems think and is heading for victory. Gets round of applause. Cable repeats line about Cameron not being able to take his Party with him. Says Cameron will return to a core vote strategy in the end. Well.... If that's what he thinks....
7.45pm Kramer thinks disillusioned Tories will stay home and won't vote. Libdems must fight on their own ground. Must not follow the Tory agenda. Must concentrate on improving Libdem party organisation.
Time to go...
Conclusion: Complacency rules OK!