Saw you on Sky doing the paper review. I totally agree with you about the feelings people have about crime and in particular the British Crime Survey.Well thank you, Martin. Anyone got any other feedback on the British Crime Survey, which purports to show that recorded crime has fallen by 30% since Labour came to power in 1997? No, don't laugh. It isn't clever, and it's not funny.
You make a good point about statistics. However, I do wish people like yourself would make more of the issue as to why crime ‘appears to be falling’. You did state that in many cases people don’t bother to report it, BUT there are other factors.
1. Car crime. Sod all to do with the Police, but car manufacturers now make it harder to break into or steal a modern car. So if car crime is falling it’s NOT thanks to the Government, but the car manufacturers.
2. Burglary. As you pointed out many people might not bother to report minor burglary (I myself never reported a bike being stolen from my well fenced back garden) but again, most people now have better home security. I have two alarms, triple locks on downstairs windows and security lights front and rear. My next door neighbours have been burgled twice in the past. They to now have a house that looks like Fort Knox. So again, this is nothing to do with the Police or the Government.
The same goes for the nonsense that speed cameras are the sole cause of falling road deaths. This story was peddled by Labour after the Tory Council plan to scrap speed cameras. Again no one bothered to point out that there are many other factors that affect apparent falling road death rates.
1. The fact that the speed camera signs remind people of the speed limit (something that can be done by simply providing more signs)
2. Improved road layouts as a result of several crashes
3. Improved street lighting
4. Improved pedestrian segregation (barriers and bridges)
5. Improved car design, such as crumple zones, airbags and soft fronts on new cars.
6. Interactive road signs (ones that warn you of your speed or of ice etc.)
I hope the next time you’re on a TV show please challenge these twisted views of politicians (of all sides) as you are an oasis of reason in a desert of stupidity.
Thursday, July 17, 2008
Damned Lies and Crime Statistics
Last night on Sky we covered the British Crime Survey, in which crime is reported to be falling all over the country, and in virtually every category bar drugs and gun crime. I made the point that most people watching would find the statistics hard to believe as their perception was rather different. I argued that the stats were flawed as crimes committed by under 16s were not included (especially important regarding knife crime) and that many crimes nowadays go unreported. This exchange prompted an email to me this morning from a viewer called Martin