His choice of running mate will be key: but those who think it might be Mr Huckabee underestimate, I think, Mr McCain’s innate caution. When you take office at the age of 72, your vice-president is more than an academic exercise.
This latter point is very true. One thing we can be sure of is that McCain won't emulate Bush 1 and go for someone like Dan Quayle. He will be looking for someone who is more than capable of taking over should the worst happen. Mind you, looking at his sprightly 96 year old mother, I'm not sure how likely that is.
McCain will be looking for geographic balance and is sure to pick someone very acceptable to those of a more conservative disposition. Not many names come readily to mind, but I think Simon Heffer is right to rule out Mike Huckabee from McCain's equation. At least I hope he is.
Another man to rulke out is Mitt Romney. There is little love lost between Romney and McCain. I suspect Romney is giving serious consideration to pulling out. If he does, he will be looking towards 2012 in the hope that McCain loses to a Democrat in November. If that is the case he needs to discover some convictions, rather than pander to what he thinks people want to hear. He just doesn't connect with people in the way he thinks he does. I put it down to the hair...