Later on tomorrow I shall be heading up the M1 and M6 towards Crewe, ready for a day's filming for my new (still unnamed) Telegraph TV programme. However, I want to get there in good time tomorrow to do a bit of campaigning myself and sniff the electoral air. Virtually every Conservative I run into has just been there or is about to go, so there can be no complaints about a lack of troops on the ground.
There is a huge expectation in the political media of an easy Conservative win. I don't subscribe to that school of thought at all. I think it is going to be incredibly close, and the Conservatives have got to guard against any false over-confidence. There is no shame in narrowly missing out on the party's 165th target seat, but the political media - which increases in its fickleness almost by the day - would undoubtedly write it up as a major crisis for David Cameron. It would be nothing of the sort. All I am saying is that expectations are far too high at the moment and a reality check is needed.