Two polls are out tonight which are not good news for the Conservatives. At all. Both are by ICM and both show a seven point Labour lead. The News of the World poll shows a vote split of 35-28-13, while the Sunday Telegraph figures are 40-33-19. The ICM NOTW poll also showed that 53% of people felt Gordon Brown was best equipped to lead Britain, compared to 27% for David Cameron. Earlier this year, ICM gave the Tory leader a five-point lead over Mr Brown on their personal ratings.
However, the Sunday Telegraph poll gave some encouragement to Cameron, with strong support for his stance on the importance of marriage. Some 70% of voters felt it was better for parents to be married. Forty nine per cent backed plans for giving tax incentives for marriage, with 44% against.
Footnote: Isn't it bizarre that two polls from the same polling organisation (oth with 1,0003 respondents) give different figures? Perhaps someone at PoliticalBetting.com could explain.
UPDATE: Ian Kirby from the NOTW explains that it was a shared poll with the Sun Tel. He says: "In response to your query about different results, Paddy did a state of the parties question. We asked "which party do you feel warmest too?" (to gauge potential floating voters) and crossed it with how did you vote in the last election".