11.58 The increasingly indispensable Andrew Sparrow has blogged that Labour has received 19.5% of the vote - compared to 44% on 2005. He reckons the Tories have taken the seat on a 14% swing, which, if true, would be a terrific result for Chloe Smith.
12.05: Sparrow reports that LibDems remain in third place with a paltry 16%. They will be gutted by that.
12.19: Sky reporting a Tory majority of 4-5,000.