Today's YouGov poll in the Sunday Times shows the Conservatives on 37%, Labour on 35% and the LibDems on a mere 14%. So should the Conservatives be worried that their lead is now only 2%? Well, it has to be said the last month has not seen the party covering itself in glory, so a case could me made for feeling relieved that David Cameron is still polling at 37%. It's interesting that the rise in the Labour vote seems to be coming more at the expense of the LibDems, who must be very worried at their 14% showing. At this stage in the last Parliament they were consistently polling around 20%.
Most commentators reckoned that Labour would get a bounce in the polls once Tony Blair announced his departure. I wonder if this slight bounce is more of a sense of relief at Blair's going rather than giving a welcome to Gordon Brown. Having said that, I do think Brown will get a temporary bounce - he's bound to with all the media coverage he will get. In some senses, normal politics won't resume until September. As I have said before, I think the polls will be all over the place until then.