44, right of centre political commentator, author, publisher, bookseller, radio presenter, TV pundit, blogger, former Conservative candidate, Essex boy, Tunbridge Wells resident, Jack Russell owner, former lobbyist, German speaker, West Ham season ticket holder, Audi lover, golfer, iPod addict.





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    Friday, May 02, 2008

    Friday Afternoon Live Blog



    New thread about to start...

    6.25 Fraser Nelson: "What strikes me is not just the scale of the results - although Labour's loss of 295 seats and Tory gains of almost 400 is certainly an unalloyed disaster. It's the way Cabinet members have nothing to say apart from "yes, really bad." The way Brown uttered some junk from the safety of No10 while Cameron toured his triumphant seats. The way rebels like Salter say it's their fault for not being so active. Labour just look and sound like a defeated party, like the fight has left them. And with zero leadership, no wonder."

    6.18 Sky News and the BBC have very different figures for council seats gained and lost. I think this is because the BBC is not including the new Unitary Authority seats but Sky are.

    6.17 Darren Lilleker, bless him, likes what I have been doing for the last 24 hours. Glad to be of service, matey.

    6.01 Four Con gains in Newport in Welsh Wales.

    5.47 You've got to laugh. LabourHome: Cameron Can't Win on This Performance.

    5.34 The ferrets are at work. Read this quote from Derek Wyatt, MP for a key Kent marginal... "We have to clear out the crap in the cabinet. If he (Gordon) does not do that, to be honest we are not going to recover. He has until the conference season and if he is still 24 per cent down in the polls, the party will have to take some pretty brave decisions. The party is pretty stressed. It took a long time for Gordon Brown to say sorry for the 10p tax decision. I am a Labour man who believes in helping poorer people. If we do that once more, we will have had it."

    5.05 From a correspondent... "Have been listening to BBC News via the Internet for much of the day - if I hear one more Labour MP saying that people will now start scrutinising the Tories more thoroughly, I'm going to scream. Couldn't these robotic idiots make it a bit less obvious that they've all had the same briefing notes?" Why on earth don't political interviewers pick them up on this?

    5.04 It never rains... "Just had a text from my daughter: “Ken Livingstone was overheard saying: “Oh dear, I’m out of cash” near a cashpoint in Stratford yesterday”

    5.01 Nine Tory gains in Denbighshire. Tory elected in Rhondda Cynon Taff

    4.48 I have just had an email from MORI with a lengthy document on the London elections. I could now say some very unkind things, but you know what a charitable person I am. I don't wish to intrude on private grief.

    4.35 EXCLUSIVE: It's a Two Horse Race! These are the Crewe & Nantwich provisional share of the vote figures...

    Cons 31.15%
    Labour 31.8%
    LD 18.70%
    Others: 18.35%

    Now if that doesn't make this a tasty by-election, I don't know what does!

    4.32 With 25% of the vote counted, GLA Member Brian Coleman looks set to double his majority.

    4.29 Former Badger worrier Ron Davies has been elected to Caerphilly Council.

    4.21 Sky reporting that the Mayoral count could go on until the early hours.

    4.20 Two Conservative gains from the LibDems in Harrogate.

    4.19 Two BNP councillors are ousted in Epping Forest.

    4.07 For every one seat the LibDems have gained, the Conservatives have gained ten. That's something LibDems might want to think about when they are crowing about how well they have done. Not.

    4.06 Just done a phone interview with a French newspaper about David Cameron. Interesting that I am getting a lot of foreign journalists ringing me nowadays wanting to talk about the Conservatives.

    3.42 Seven Tory gains in Wakefield

    3.41 Will on the BBC World Service at 5pm and Radio Kent between 5 and 6.

    3.37 Dizzy reckons that just because the BNP are paranoid someone should be out to get them.

    3.26 COMMENTING on the latest results in the local government elections, Shadow Secretary of State for Wales Cheryl Gillan MP and Welsh Conservative Assembly leader Nick Bourne AM said: “This election has been a triumph for the Welsh Conservatives and an unmitigated disaster for Labour. While Welsh Conservatives have won seats on councils in every part of Wales Labour has been in meltdown. These results should serve as a warning to Labour MPs and Labour Assembly Members. “The impressive Welsh Conservative gains across the country send a clear message ahead of the next General and Assembly elections - no Labour seat in Wales is safe. People across Wales have said they’ve had enough of Labour, enough of higher council tax, enough of crumbling schools, enough of longer hospital waiting lists, and enough of the rising cost of living. These results are a disaster for Plaid Cymru too. They lost control in their heartlands and failed to make any significant inroads elsewhere... We fielded a record number of candidates at this election – and we’re on course to win a record number of councillors. Welsh Conservatives have won more votes and more seats at every national election in Wales since 1999. That impressive record has continued today. We have won seats from Labour and Plaid Cymru, we have won seats from the Liberals and the independents. We have won more seats in urban areas and in rural Wales. We have won in the valleys and on the coast. Labour’s stranglehold on Welsh local government has been broken forever. The Welsh Conservative Party is a serious force in local politics in Wales.”

    3.25 Danny Finkelstein has a London rumours page. Well worth a look.

    3.23 Guido Fawkes has been searching the Situations Vacant columns.

    3.18 From my source at a London count: "There are a depressing number of spoilt ballot papers - mainly thanks to the complexity of the mayoral vote and the lack of clarity in the instructions to voters. I would say the majority of accidentally spoilt ballot papers are left of centre - with quite a few trying to give livingstone and paddick both thier first preference votes. However, there are also quite a few johnson and winston spolit votes. Some are deliberately spolit - with a few obscene comments, and others such as 're-open nominations', 'voting is a sham', and 'for the love of god - stop!' The actual figures for spolit ballot papers will be interesting. I suspect it will be a high percentage, with the majority of those being for the mayoral (as opposed to gla) contest."

    3.12 Alan Duncan was excellent on Sky just now. In fact, I haven't seen a bad performance yet by a Tory spokesman today.

    3.11 That was a joke, by the way.

    2.59 A plane has been spotted at RAF Northolt ready and waiting to take Ken Livingstone into exile in Venezuela.

    2.58 Labour gain Slough from NOC. What's that all about then?

    2.57 Dizzy has further evidence of lower turnout in inner London boroughs.

    2.49 Crewe North, also 2 Tory, 1 Labour. Augurs well...

    2.48 In France it is St Boris's Day today. An omen?

    2.45 Result from Crewe West, which is a three member ward - 2 Con, 1 Lab.

    2.43 My fellow Hammer Tony McNulty is on Sky trotting out the "we must have more scrutiny of Tory policies" line. Is it me, or is that just a bit on the weak side?

    2.42 One of the count officials in London has just (in jest) announced the winner of the mayoral contest - it is Robert Mugabe!

    2.40 Chester & West Chester. C – 53, Lab – 13, LibDem 3. Think that one's ours too :)

    2.39: My rather mildly worded CommentIsFree piece is causing the usual nutter comments. My favourite one is from someone who denies that there has been any poll in the last few weeks showing a Tory lead of more than 5%. The leftists are in complete denial, aren't they?

    2.30 EXCLUSIVE: Huge news from Cheshire for the new Unitary authority (so hated by Gwineth Dunwoody). Results so far. 41 Conservatives, 7 LibDem, 3 Others (local group – Middlewich First). No results for any Crewe wards or Nantwich yet

    2.26 Jonathan Isaby has spoken to Stanley Johnson, who confirms my story below!

    2.25 Let's remember that one fifth of the 230 Tory gains so far have come from Wales.
    A lot of people deserve a lot of credit.

    2.24 Welsh Tories are hyper-ventiliating. Another 8 gains in Conwy.

    2.22 Two by elections in Tower Hamlets last night. Labour gain one from the LibDems and the Tories won on the Isle of Dogs.

    2.21 Inside info from the London counts...

    City and East GLA seat: Labour leading 65:35
    Greenwich and Lewisham: Labour leading 60:40
    Bexley and Bromley: Con leading 80:20
    Croydon & Sutton: Con leading 65:35

    Livingstone running marginally ahead of GLA candidates, but only by 2%

    2.20 Just received: "A friend who works in the Scotland Office was at the Excell Centre monitoring the electronic counting of votes to see how it was going (The Scotland Office is interested based on how badly things wen with electronic voting in Scotland). What they told me was that due to a lack of Tory agents large numbers of valid Boris papers were being classed as invalid. There are plenty of Labour people there." This is deeply worrying, if true. Why hasn't the Conservative Party got enough agents there to scrutinise properly?

    2.18 Tony Sharp explains the Labour implosion in Crawley.

    1.57. Wow. Yesterday the Conservatives had no councillors in Powys. Now they have nine. Go Matt Lane!

    1.56 4 gains in Pembrokeshire push the Conservatives through 200 net gains, with more to come.

    1.39 The count at Olympia is only 25% complete. Very slow.

    1.38 Sky have London turnout at 45%. This is good for the Tories because it means that turnout in inner London must have been much lower than in the outer Tory boroughs.

    1.37 Phil Taylor has news of a narrow Tory victory in an Ealing Council by election.

    1.36 Brent and Harrow Gla seat, Bob Blackman is only marginally ahead.

    1.29 Ken is ahead decisively in the North East London count - by as much as thirty per cent on first prefs.

    1.26 Barnet and Camden mayoral first prefs Boris twenty per cent (approx) ahead.

    1.25 Enfield and Haringey mayoral first prefs Boris about five per cent ahead of Ken.

    1.13 Solihull is confirmed as a Conservative gain.

    1.12 LibDems have overall majority in Sheffield of 6. The Conservatives lost their only councillor.

    1.11 Incoming Labour General Secretary David Pitt-Watson confirms he will not be taking the post after all. He refused to take legal liability for Labour's finances. A bad day just got worse for Gordon.

    12.59 Hot rumour is that Conservatives take control of Solihull and Redditch. Bye bye Jacqui Smith.

    12.45 I'm not getting much news at all from the London count(s). Why not?!

    96 Comments:

    Anonymous Zanoo said...

    maybe Ken's doing a Mugabe?!

    May 02, 2008 12:56 PM  
    Anonymous Tom FD said...

    When do we see the Dale v Portillo video? I'm afraid I turned off in despair after Portillo, unchallenged, talked about how strange it was for David Cameron to prop Boris up as his candidate "after sacking him from the shadow cabinet". Er, no, Michael, that was his predecessor Michael Howard!

    (Okay it wasn't really enough to make me turn it off. It was the cowboy segment that was too much for me.)

    May 02, 2008 12:59 PM  
    Anonymous Daniel said...

    Eletronic counting. Takes time to get some results. We should get some GLA results by 3pm

    http://www.londonelects.com/results.aspx

    May 02, 2008 1:01 PM  
    Blogger Travis Bickle said...

    Unfortunately we have to wait 2 years before we can say goodbye to the real culprits like our hapless Home Secretary.

    May 02, 2008 1:06 PM  
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    Aren't you watching the Beeb ? It has repeated the view [from J. Landale] that in the 14 counts for which there is information, BoJo is ahead in 10 of them...

    But then they could save themselves a bit of time - PaddyPower are already paying out for Boris winning !!

    May 02, 2008 1:13 PM  
    Blogger Silversprite said...

    Hello from the Outer Hebrides.

    Some useful resources for London residents/voters in this blog posting.

    See you soon.

    May 02, 2008 1:14 PM  
    Anonymous dirty europeasocialist said...

    I thin it is all a fix. There was no eixt poll. So how do we know the neocons have noy just fixed so it they can rid of the current PM. As they did in the 2000 elections and 2005 elections in the USA. Asprooved by Greg Palast who proved the necons stole 2004. Why was their no exit poll? Why were 3000 votes destroyed in tower hamelts. Why did one labour voting area run of ballot papers.
    Well done London one fewer working class whote white running England well done. As Scot all I can say you must really hate. working clas people running you.

    May 02, 2008 1:16 PM  
    Anonymous Rex said...

    They are now suggesting a turn-out of only 45% in London. What happened to the earlier predictions of up to 75%?

    Can anyone see a big bonfire in or around London?

    May 02, 2008 1:17 PM  
    Blogger BOF2BS said...

    Comment on political betting - any contacts Iain


    Am I the only person who is deeply frustrated that the live Mayoral tallies - which can be seen at the counts and by BBC reporters - are not available online? Why doesn’t Sky train a camera on them and run a live feed?
    by Don May 2nd, 2008 at 12:44 pm

    May 02, 2008 1:22 PM  
    Anonymous Rex said...

    Dave Cameron has just referred to his party on sky as the "modern conservatives"

    Are they now the "mod cons"

    May 02, 2008 1:23 PM  
    Anonymous Martin said...

    I doubt that the announcement of David Pitt-Watson's decision has really made Broon's day any worse. He (and we) have known for some time Pitt-Watson wasn't going to take the job.

    The spin-meisters have put the story out today in the expectation that the story will be buried by the news from the local elections.

    May 02, 2008 1:24 PM  
    Blogger Bill Quango MP said...

    Sky news says "if this was a general election the Tories would have achieved ALL their top 10 target seats"

    Nice.

    May 02, 2008 1:25 PM  
    Anonymous wrinkled weasel said...

    Labour, the lying bastards, have been stuffed. I shall celebrate by cleaning out the chicken house. It stinks in there, but it will be as nothing to the sweet smell of a victory over the egregious and putrid bogie man.

    May 02, 2008 1:27 PM  
    Anonymous Cath said...

    Sorry for Anne Smith in Sheffield but this is Clegg's constituency and he's done the dinner party circuit very well. However with a few boundary changes this constituency is there for the taking at a General. C'mon Sheff Tories get your act together!

    May 02, 2008 1:28 PM  
    Blogger Bill Quango MP said...

    dirty europeasocialist said... I can say you must really hate. working clas people running you.

    you can't keep up this 'poor injured working class hero against the rich act DES.
    In case you hadn't noticed the poor have spoken. They said 'Piss Off'

    if you don't like it just go to labourhome. over there its a big victory for Labour.

    May 02, 2008 1:32 PM  
    Blogger JuliaM said...

    I think 'dirtyeuropeansocialist' has a sticky keyboard. What has he been up to...? :)

    May 02, 2008 1:33 PM  
    OpenID curly15 said...

    I'm chuffed that the Geordies of North Tyneside have gone Conservative!

    May 02, 2008 1:44 PM  
    Anonymous dirty european socialist said...

    JuliaM . Rude bully. You must have a low IQ and some defects to make comments like that to someone. Have you got a low mental age.

    Bill Quango MP Once again another willy related post where you ask me to Piss off No thanks. I am not a tory cabinet man. I do spew out piss all time. The working and middle class of England must hate themslves. they have voted out one of the few English working class men who run the UK. As scot i laught at how much you hate your own people. Well donde the english are obvuously not competent enough to run their own country.

    May 02, 2008 1:45 PM  
    Anonymous cjcjc said...

    That Question Time exchange between Littlejohn and Toynbee is pure gold.

    He was right...she did start it!

    May 02, 2008 1:47 PM  
    Blogger Blue Eyes said...

    Surely electronic counting should be very quick otherwise what is the point?

    May 02, 2008 1:47 PM  
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    It seems to me that DirtyEuropeanSocialist must have hit the sauceboat this morning.

    Obviously drowning his sorrows.

    That's a slippery slope luv - don't do it.

    May 02, 2008 1:51 PM  
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    It seems to me that DirtyEuropeanSocialist must have hit the sauceboat this morning.

    Obviously drowning his sorrows.

    That's a slippery slope luv - don't do it.

    May 02, 2008 1:52 PM  
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    Smashed through the +200 seat mark !!!

    May 02, 2008 1:53 PM  
    Blogger Benny Austwick said...

    Is PB down for anyone else?

    May 02, 2008 1:55 PM  
    Anonymous dougal said...

    DES - stop spending so much time with your whippets and learn how to write basic English.

    And get that coal out of your bath.

    May 02, 2008 1:57 PM  
    Anonymous vervet said...

    dirtyeuropeansocialist really has hit rock bottom now. DES - there really is nothing good you could possibly spin out of today's events - why don't you just take a break from commenting. Maybe pop down the shops and get a new keyboard ... and a dictionary. Roget's Thesaurus might also help to make your outpourings a little less monotonous.

    May 02, 2008 1:59 PM  
    Anonymous PSJ said...

    Now the difficult part comes - making sure the next Conservative government is actually conservative:

    - taking our country back from Brussels
    - cutting taxes when possible
    - ending the bullying, bossy nanny state
    - providing decently for our armed forces.

    There's no point in a 300-seat Tory mejority if all we do is ape New Labour.

    May 02, 2008 1:59 PM  
    Anonymous sherlock said...

    dirty:

    "I do spew out piss all time."

    ho ho!

    May 02, 2008 2:04 PM  
    Anonymous Anonymous said...

    where can the current totals from the london count be viewed?

    May 02, 2008 2:07 PM  
    Anonymous irty european socialist said...

    sherlock Do you LOL.
    vervet My keyboard works. I am not spinning i am merely pointing out why was there no exit poll. It is democratic right there should an exit poll. To prevent corruption. Especially with conn that is electronic voting, which i in no way trusy. Especially when it has been found 3000 votes were destroyed in muslim rich tower hamelts. People have a right to look at the issues.
    Explain how convenient it is that 3000 votes are destoyed in alargely muslim council. Wht?
    Are you seriouslt telling me that if Barnet had 3000 votes destoyed you would not find that a bit odd.

    May 02, 2008 2:18 PM  
    Blogger Benny Austwick said...

    Iain, I remember you saying about how many extra tory candidates were being deployed in Wales. This seems to have worked to their advantage tremendously.

    I'm a proud tory in Wales :D

    May 02, 2008 2:31 PM