Thursday, May 22, 2008

Your Predictions for Crewe & Nantwich

I'll give a prize of £100 of books and DVDs to anyone who correctly guesses the size (in actual votes - and to the right party!) of the majority in Crewe & Nantwich. Leave your predictions in the comments.

Also, click HERE to take part in the poll to predict the result. We'll see if readers of this blog are better predictors than those who take part in the PoliticsHome daily poll of Westminster villagers.

298 comments:

1 – 200 of 298   Newer›   Newest»
Half The Story said...

3250 to the Tories.

Noelinho said...

Conservative majority of 5,182.

Sarah said...

1783

Stephen said...

conservative maj of 3,971

Martyn said...

Tories by 4566

Peter said...

7,127

Tories.

nostradamus said...

Conservatives, 2971

NorthernEconomist said...

Conservative 5552

Things to do instead of... said...

conservatives to win by 1,125 votes

Anonymous said...

Conservative majority of 5,750.
"Staffs knot"

Prodicus said...

3873 Tory.

Anonymous said...

I think it will be 1-1 after extra time followed by a shoot out in the old goods siding.
freedom to prosper

Andrew F said...

2,391 to the scum (Tories).

Richard Nabavi said...

Conservative majority of 2,761

bj said...

Conservatives 602

Cleethorpes Rock said...

I'm going to go with my original prediction of a 1367 majority for the Tories.

Bayesian said...

Conservatives: 2160 majority

Travis Bickle said...

Due a blue win this week, so

TBT to take the seat from that posh bint from Wales with a 1650 majority.

Brown Balls said...

3752 to the Conservatives

Tom said...

Edward Timpson (Conservatives) by 2200.

The Irish Bandit said...

Tory majority of 2,049

Patrick said...

Tory win by 2,500 votes. Lib Dems in 2nd place!

Penfold said...

Labour retain the seat with majority of 124

vox Populli said...

Conservative majority of 2168

johnny psephology said...

5362 Tory boy majority.

iCowboy said...

4750 majority to the Conservatives on a 50% turnout.

Mike Wood said...

Conservative majority of 2768

Red Booms said...

Tory win 2472 majority.

Anonymous said...

3750 to the Tories..

Zorro
.

Boggo said...

Tory win by 4724

Anonymous said...

3750 to the Tories...
Zorro.

Alan said...

Conservative majority of 3431

Dean said...

Edward Timpson majority of 4,432

Anonymous said...

con maj.5,401

Tom Dexter said...

1092 to conservative

ayayay said...

Tories 4456

Caligula's Palace said...

2790 to the Tories.

Anonymous said...

3,541 to Tories.
Barry, Taunton

Icedink said...

7200 majority for Timpson - and a trip to Scots Tory conf in Ayr thrown in.

vervet said...

Tories by 1,542 ...

DaveMac said...

Con Maj of 6,664

Rog said...

4695 Conservative majority.
NuLab implode in about a fortnight.
Brown bricked up inside his bunker and forgotten.

Nothos said...

Well, how accurate do we need to be?

I'm predicting around 8000 majority to the Conservatives.

Heaver said...

Tories by 1,889.

Vienna Woods said...

Tory majority by 1822

Alkie Ada said...

1280 to the Blues...

Anonymous said...

Conservatives by 6,454

(Still stuck with the Oaten-brown banner then?)

Marquee Mark

Wallenstein said...

966 to Labour

Rush-is-Right said...

Timpson to win by by 4207

Tamburlaine said...

Labour win narrowly by 240 votes - cava popping in number 10 tonight. Tory commentators wishful thinking about a blowout comes not to pass.

Squiffy said...

4927 to the Tories

Tim said...

Tory majority 1706.

Quiet_Man said...

Monster Raving loony party majority of 7

Hitchy said...

Labour Majority of 400

gavin said...

Tories with 4002.

William said...

5032 to the Tories!

Steve_Roberts said...

Tory

Maj 4,236

Ronnie said...

1053 Tory win

Diogenes said...

Con+4325

Stephen said...

2,452 to the Tories.

Ryan said...

Conservative win with 1060 majority

Christina_M said...

6236 Tory majority.

Philip W said...

Tories with 6,742 majority

Robert Simpson said...

Tory majority of 5734

stalin's gran said...

Tory majority 2500

red baiter said...

500 majority for Labour, against the sound of knives being sharpened for Gordon throughout the summer.

Anonymous said...

4691 irradiated haggis ...sorry ..conservative majority.

Toby G

Daniel said...

Tories by 3113 votes.

McSweeney said...

3,342 to the Tories

dirty european socialist said...

Labour win with majority of 15,000. Tories beaten into fourh place behind lib dems and the Monstyer raving loony party. Tory leader found having hs carriage pulledf by a lama.

Anonymous said...

10020 Tory Majority
As a non-Tory, something high enough to create a momentum for Brown's removal, I hope.

BOF2BS said...

Conservative majority of 7,208

dirty european socialist said...

Tories win by two votes, but a scandal is found as it is found two of the Tory candiates lamas had been given the vote. So it is thoguht he only won because of two lamas, But then it is found they had voted for labour. But then it is found they had vote for labour because the did not like the tory MP. Animals lovers turn on tory MP forcing him to resign. Tory leader then reigns too.

kevlar said...

3854 conservative majority

Anonymous said...

Tory majority of 4,631.

Alexis said...

Conservative: 3023

Alexis said...

Conservative: 3023

narcissa said...

Tory majority of 4711

kiffster65 said...

872 to the Tories

Matthew Dear said...

Con majority 9,654. No, really.

John Coles said...

7,368 to the Tories.

parburypolitica said...

4800 to Timpson

Blackacre said...

Miss Great Britain by 69.

Truth Seeker said...

4256 Con Maj

killemallletgodsortemout said...

Tories by 2759

Gary Elsby said...

Majority of 2750 Tamsin Dunwoody.

Percepied said...

3217 Conservatives

dirty european socialist said...

Cameron prmised that if he won he would streak down crewe high street naked in a top hat. Carriyng a whip, pulling a horse anc carriage behind him full of Bulligndon boys..

dirty european socialist: said...

The PM promised tha if labour won he would put himself in the st5ocks for the people of crwere to throw vegetbales at him.

stuart said...

Conservative majority of 7,112.

Aardvark said...

Conservative majority of 3124

Anonymous said...

Conservative majority of 4144 votes.

davemc0 said...

conservative majority 2,831

JJ said...

Edward Timpson (Cons) by 4522

Michael Rock said...

Timpson, Conservative majority by 4309

Travis Bickle said...

Ah DES,

As your last half decent leader used to say "edjucashun, edjucashun, edjucashun"

And long may the Tory leader reign.

ps save the llamas.

Anonymous said...

Iain, do you include postal votes?No postal votes - Tories, 6.889 majority
With postal votes - Labour, 7 majority (The Khan family made the difference!)

Anonymous said...

Why can't I predict a UKIP win in your online vote?

Thatcher-right said...

DES... point of information... there are more lamas around than you might think. They discourage foxes from attacking lambs.

Michael L said...

1,582 to Tories

dirty european socialist said...

Travis Bickle Typical top hats making fun of my comprehensive education. You despise the working and middle class you toffs think us poor are just here to clean and polish you shoes, By the way I have postgraduate qualifications so I need no lectures from an oaf like you on edcuation LOL.

ToneyBaloney said...

Conservative majorityv3,581

Whiffler said...

Timpson by 3,210. Mugabe duly reports to Westminster on Friday morning.

PaulD said...

In an idle moment I averaged the predictions above (disregarding a couple of sillies but including Labour wins). The score:
3419 to the Tories

Let's see how acurate your readers are, Iain. Oh, and that's my prediction for the 100 quid.

Vindico said...

2084 to the Tories

Kighty said...

Conservative majority of 6328.

ScotsToryB said...

541 to the Tories.

STB.

DiscoveredJoys said...

Conservatives, 2781.

Gordon Brown 0, David Cameron 1.

Anonymous said...

183 to the scum (Labour)

Croydonian said...

Timpson by 8500.

Cath Dibble said...

Con by 1059

Sophie Fernandes said...

Conservatives by 3,050

Kath said...

Conservatives 2,556

mark said...

8,888 to the Tory toff

Kissing Up to Gordon said...

Labour 79,098

Sad Clown said...

Conservative majority of 3,456

Bill Quango MP said...

Conservative 1087

Anonymous said...

Conservative majority 2987

CNH

Justin Hinchcliffe said...

472 (Cons)

Letterman said...

Conservative majority of 598.

headless said...

Tories by 1,512 after extra time & penalties.

ciaran said...

tories by 900

julwhite said...

1872 - Conservative majority

Chris said...

I am more skeptical, Tory majority of 993.

Mike said...

2473 for Timpson :-)

Anonymous said...

Conservatives by 4,220.

Would be nice to believe the press and that no one is voting Labour at all, but I suspect we are starting to get the opposite effect of late in last Tory Govt, where people were embarassed to admit they will vote for Govt.

In the unlikely event of my wining, please donate prize to Save the children.

Janus said...

Conservative majority of 6,677 votes

Brian W said...

Conservative majority of 7363

Oscar Miller said...

1732 to the Tories.

Madasafish said...

6213 to the Conservatives

Anonymous said...

Tories by 3817

Praguetory said...

Conservative - 867

Kipling said...

Conservative majority of 2254

Colin said...

Tories to win by 1280 votes.

Anonymous said...

tories majority 3856

Anonymous said...

Cons maj of 5235
forecast by oldtimer

ak23566 said...

Conservative +4105

Ian McCord said...

Con 17,394 Lib Dem 12,393 Lab - 11,958 Others - 1739 - Conservative Majority - 5,001

Travis Bickle said...

DES

Postgraduate qualifications, I'm impressed. What in? Your wildest dreams perchance.

TJUK2008 said...

Labour Majority of 500

tayto said...

Conservative Win by 1879 based on 40.4% of vote Lab 36.3% and Lib 20.0 others 3.3%

Hi there, said...

1765 to the blues..

Neo said...

6255

Mike T said...

Conservative majority 1,028

Mike, Whiteley.

sceptical said...

Gemma Garrett by 36-24-36

John Pickworth said...

I predict...

4112 Conservative Maj.

(will be absolutely delighted if if I've under-estimated)

Ben S said...

Con Majority 2439

The don't deserve to win it, mind but Labour deserve to lose it.

AnyoneButBrown said...

4,525 to the Tories

TomWilts said...

A Timpson win....!


2,897 Vote lead


Tamsin Dunwoody rejected by Wales and now England too. An ignominious end to the memory of Gwyneth.

Anonymous said...

Conservative victory by 2336 votes by ellan_vannin

dirty european socialist said...

I actually make my real prediction, now I be nose that theres' be prizes up.
Conservatives 14,321
Labour 10,900
Lib dems 9,567

Beat that no lamas were hurt in this prediction;

Roger said...

Tory majority of 9,127 votes

Serf said...

The Blue Corner, by 3337 votes

The Empty Suit said...

1,423 to the Tories. I think it's going to be a lot closer than people are predicting.

Charlotte Corday said...

Cons. majority of 4,261

BTW I googled the Labour Party site and found this comment on it from Chris Lennie, Acting General Secretary of the Labour Party:

"Worth gambling? Not when your families (sic) future is on the line."

"Education, education, education" - indeed!

Gobshyte said...

2355 for the boy Timpson

When I win how do I prove i'm in a very real sense, me?

Danvers said...

Con maj of 11,021

Al M said...

Conservative majority of 1,513

Tom FD said...

Timpson 1234

idle said...

Conservative majority of 3,333

Anonymous said...

Sad to say, Tories by 851

Ben Rowe said...

4138 Tories

antifrank said...

Conservatives: 7,462

Anonymous said...

Conservatives majority 8,001

conand said...

I think that terribly terribly nice chap Timpson will win by about 2000 votes.

Gordon will struggle on for a bit but basically everyone will forget about zaNuLiebore and Dave will sweep to victory. His first act will be to Knight or Crown John Terry, anything to stop the poor sod crying.

C'mon you blues!

Not a sheep said...

Labour victory by 1 vote after postal votes are taken into account; why else do we have to wait until 3am for the declaration. Labour have learnt from Robert Mugabe's experiences, Zanu/Labour will rule for ever.

Judge said...

conservative majority 2357

pussy said...

timpson by a whisker

Yak40 said...

DES leaves comments here but there's no provision for comment on his site.

William Gruff said...

Labour hold with a majority of between 150 and 500

lady Finchley said...

Lady Finchley predicts 4631

Anonymous said...

Conservative
+ 9135

Anonymous said...

chris_g00

i don't want to ruin the suspense but tories win by a majority of 4,850

Tim said...

Turnout: 50%, Total number of votes cast: 38,500

Tamsin Dunwoody [Lab]: 15,000, Elizabeth Shenton [LibDem]: 4,500 Edward Timpson [Con]: 18,500 Others: 500

Conservative majority: 3,500

or 3,531, which is the number I'm submitting to Iain Dale

no longer anonymous said...

Tory majority: 1345

plankton said...

3842 to the Tories.

Colin said...

2808 to the Tories.

Anonymous said...

Hre is my brave prediction
Tories 14,234
Labour 10,904
Lib Dems 9,567

Dirty Beggar said...

Labour's hate filled hypocrite wins by 504

geraldae said...

2,231 to the conservatives

Mike H said...

Conservative majority of 2197

Daily Referendum said...

Tory win by 9567 votes.

Anonymous said...

4502 tories

Submariner said...

It will be closer than some people think. Conservative win: majority 1792. Still a MASSIVE swing Lab to Con though.

ZaNuLab will try to portray it as 'disappointing for Dave' even though overturning the Lab majority by even one vote was rightly seen as a big, big task when Dunwoody Senior popped off.

Deborah Thomas said...

Cons to win by 6,825 votes.

matthew.lloyd said...

Con Maj 2886

lovelytoast said...

8437 Tory Majority

jozephb said...

con maj 101

Mr Bean said...

Conservative majority of 4825.

Cmdr.Adama said...

Cons win. 2008 maj.

SLAM said...

Tories 3159

SLAM said...

Tory majority of 3159

Chris Paul said...

3327 majority to Labour.

I am not really Chris Paul but since he hasn't commented I feel justified in making up a ridiculous prediction on his behalf.

A record 189 comments already, Iain. This is how to boost voter turnout: just offer each one £100. To get the votes of an entire parliamentary constituency works out at £2.7 billion.

Dave H.

Anonymous said...

Con majority 3000.
"Barney from Killarney"

Peter O - Forecast UK said...

Conservative Majority - 3215

Keir Gravil said...

712 majority to the Conservatives.

Perry said...

6382 to the Conseratives

Elliott said...

5211 win for the Tories

Ashley said...

2500 Tories to win

Adam Thomas said...

2,745 for the Conservatives

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