I'll give a prize of £100 of books and DVDs to anyone who correctly guesses the size (in actual votes - and to the right party!) of the majority in Crewe & Nantwich. Leave your predictions in the comments.
Also, click HERE to take part in the poll to predict the result. We'll see if readers of this blog are better predictors than those who take part in the PoliticsHome daily poll of Westminster villagers.
296 comments:
1 – 200 of 296 Newer› Newest»3250 to the Tories.
Conservative majority of 5,182.
1783
conservative maj of 3,971
7,127
Tories.
Conservatives, 2971
Conservative 5552
conservatives to win by 1,125 votes
Conservative majority of 5,750.
"Staffs knot"
3873 Tory.
I think it will be 1-1 after extra time followed by a shoot out in the old goods siding.
freedom to prosper
2,391 to the scum (Tories).
Conservative majority of 2,761
Conservatives 602
I'm going to go with my original prediction of a 1367 majority for the Tories.
Conservatives: 2160 majority
Due a blue win this week, so
TBT to take the seat from that posh bint from Wales with a 1650 majority.
3752 to the Conservatives
Edward Timpson (Conservatives) by 2200.
Tory majority of 2,049
Tory win by 2,500 votes. Lib Dems in 2nd place!
Labour retain the seat with majority of 124
Conservative majority of 2168
5362 Tory boy majority.
4750 majority to the Conservatives on a 50% turnout.
Conservative majority of 2768
Tory win 2472 majority.
3750 to the Tories..
Zorro
.
Tory win by 4724
3750 to the Tories...
Zorro.
Conservative majority of 3431
Edward Timpson majority of 4,432
con maj.5,401
1092 to conservative
Tories 4456
2790 to the Tories.
3,541 to Tories.
Barry, Taunton
7200 majority for Timpson - and a trip to Scots Tory conf in Ayr thrown in.
Tories by 1,542 ...
Con Maj of 6,664
4695 Conservative majority.
NuLab implode in about a fortnight.
Brown bricked up inside his bunker and forgotten.
Well, how accurate do we need to be?
I'm predicting around 8000 majority to the Conservatives.
Tories by 1,889.
Tory majority by 1822
1280 to the Blues...
Conservatives by 6,454
(Still stuck with the Oaten-brown banner then?)
Marquee Mark
966 to Labour
Timpson to win by by 4207
Labour win narrowly by 240 votes - cava popping in number 10 tonight. Tory commentators wishful thinking about a blowout comes not to pass.
4927 to the Tories
Tory majority 1706.
Monster Raving loony party majority of 7
Labour Majority of 400
Tories with 4002.
5032 to the Tories!
Tory
Maj 4,236
1053 Tory win
Con+4325
2,452 to the Tories.
Conservative win with 1060 majority
6236 Tory majority.
Tories with 6,742 majority
Tory majority of 5734
Tory majority 2500
500 majority for Labour, against the sound of knives being sharpened for Gordon throughout the summer.
4691 irradiated haggis ...sorry ..conservative majority.
Toby G
Tories by 3113 votes.
3,342 to the Tories
Labour win with majority of 15,000. Tories beaten into fourh place behind lib dems and the Monstyer raving loony party. Tory leader found having hs carriage pulledf by a lama.
10020 Tory Majority
As a non-Tory, something high enough to create a momentum for Brown's removal, I hope.
Conservative majority of 7,208
Tories win by two votes, but a scandal is found as it is found two of the Tory candiates lamas had been given the vote. So it is thoguht he only won because of two lamas, But then it is found they had voted for labour. But then it is found they had vote for labour because the did not like the tory MP. Animals lovers turn on tory MP forcing him to resign. Tory leader then reigns too.
3854 conservative majority
Tory majority of 4,631.
Conservative: 3023
Conservative: 3023
Tory majority of 4711
872 to the Tories
Con majority 9,654. No, really.
7,368 to the Tories.
4800 to Timpson
Miss Great Britain by 69.
4256 Con Maj
Majority of 2750 Tamsin Dunwoody.
3217 Conservatives
Cameron prmised that if he won he would streak down crewe high street naked in a top hat. Carriyng a whip, pulling a horse anc carriage behind him full of Bulligndon boys..
The PM promised tha if labour won he would put himself in the st5ocks for the people of crwere to throw vegetbales at him.
Conservative majority of 7,112.
Conservative majority of 3124
Conservative majority of 4144 votes.
conservative majority 2,831
Edward Timpson (Cons) by 4522
Timpson, Conservative majority by 4309
Ah DES,
As your last half decent leader used to say "edjucashun, edjucashun, edjucashun"
And long may the Tory leader reign.
ps save the llamas.
Iain, do you include postal votes?No postal votes - Tories, 6.889 majority
With postal votes - Labour, 7 majority (The Khan family made the difference!)
Why can't I predict a UKIP win in your online vote?
DES... point of information... there are more lamas around than you might think. They discourage foxes from attacking lambs.
1,582 to Tories
Travis Bickle Typical top hats making fun of my comprehensive education. You despise the working and middle class you toffs think us poor are just here to clean and polish you shoes, By the way I have postgraduate qualifications so I need no lectures from an oaf like you on edcuation LOL.
Conservative majorityv3,581
Timpson by 3,210. Mugabe duly reports to Westminster on Friday morning.
In an idle moment I averaged the predictions above (disregarding a couple of sillies but including Labour wins). The score:
3419 to the Tories
Let's see how acurate your readers are, Iain. Oh, and that's my prediction for the 100 quid.
2084 to the Tories
Conservative majority of 6328.
541 to the Tories.
STB.
Conservatives, 2781.
Gordon Brown 0, David Cameron 1.
183 to the scum (Labour)
Timpson by 8500.
Con by 1059
Conservatives by 3,050
Conservatives 2,556
8,888 to the Tory toff
Labour 79,098
Conservative majority of 3,456
Conservative 1087
Conservative majority 2987
CNH
472 (Cons)
Conservative majority of 598.
Tories by 1,512 after extra time & penalties.
tories by 900
1872 - Conservative majority
I am more skeptical, Tory majority of 993.
2473 for Timpson :-)
Conservatives by 4,220.
Would be nice to believe the press and that no one is voting Labour at all, but I suspect we are starting to get the opposite effect of late in last Tory Govt, where people were embarassed to admit they will vote for Govt.
In the unlikely event of my wining, please donate prize to Save the children.
Conservative majority of 6,677 votes
Conservative majority of 7363
1732 to the Tories.
6213 to the Conservatives
Tories by 3817
Conservative - 867
Conservative majority of 2254
Tories to win by 1280 votes.
tories majority 3856
Cons maj of 5235
forecast by oldtimer
Conservative +4105
Con 17,394 Lib Dem 12,393 Lab - 11,958 Others - 1739 - Conservative Majority - 5,001
DES
Postgraduate qualifications, I'm impressed. What in? Your wildest dreams perchance.
Labour Majority of 500
Conservative Win by 1879 based on 40.4% of vote Lab 36.3% and Lib 20.0 others 3.3%
1765 to the blues..
6255
Conservative majority 1,028
Mike, Whiteley.
Gemma Garrett by 36-24-36
I predict...
4112 Conservative Maj.
(will be absolutely delighted if if I've under-estimated)
Con Majority 2439
The don't deserve to win it, mind but Labour deserve to lose it.
4,525 to the Tories
A Timpson win....!
2,897 Vote lead
Tamsin Dunwoody rejected by Wales and now England too. An ignominious end to the memory of Gwyneth.
Conservative victory by 2336 votes by ellan_vannin
I actually make my real prediction, now I be nose that theres' be prizes up.
Conservatives 14,321
Labour 10,900
Lib dems 9,567
Beat that no lamas were hurt in this prediction;
Tory majority of 9,127 votes
The Blue Corner, by 3337 votes
1,423 to the Tories. I think it's going to be a lot closer than people are predicting.
Cons. majority of 4,261
BTW I googled the Labour Party site and found this comment on it from Chris Lennie, Acting General Secretary of the Labour Party:
"Worth gambling? Not when your families (sic) future is on the line."
"Education, education, education" - indeed!
2355 for the boy Timpson
When I win how do I prove i'm in a very real sense, me?
Con maj of 11,021
Conservative majority of 1,513
Timpson 1234
Conservative majority of 3,333
Sad to say, Tories by 851
4138 Tories
Conservatives: 7,462
Conservatives majority 8,001
I think that terribly terribly nice chap Timpson will win by about 2000 votes.
Gordon will struggle on for a bit but basically everyone will forget about zaNuLiebore and Dave will sweep to victory. His first act will be to Knight or Crown John Terry, anything to stop the poor sod crying.
C'mon you blues!
Labour victory by 1 vote after postal votes are taken into account; why else do we have to wait until 3am for the declaration. Labour have learnt from Robert Mugabe's experiences, Zanu/Labour will rule for ever.
conservative majority 2357
timpson by a whisker
DES leaves comments here but there's no provision for comment on his site.
Labour hold with a majority of between 150 and 500
Lady Finchley predicts 4631
Conservative
+ 9135
chris_g00
i don't want to ruin the suspense but tories win by a majority of 4,850
Turnout: 50%, Total number of votes cast: 38,500
Tamsin Dunwoody [Lab]: 15,000, Elizabeth Shenton [LibDem]: 4,500 Edward Timpson [Con]: 18,500 Others: 500
Conservative majority: 3,500
or 3,531, which is the number I'm submitting to Iain Dale
Tory majority: 1345
3842 to the Tories.
2808 to the Tories.
Hre is my brave prediction
Tories 14,234
Labour 10,904
Lib Dems 9,567
Labour's hate filled hypocrite wins by 504
2,231 to the conservatives
Conservative majority of 2197
Tory win by 9567 votes.
4502 tories
It will be closer than some people think. Conservative win: majority 1792. Still a MASSIVE swing Lab to Con though.
ZaNuLab will try to portray it as 'disappointing for Dave' even though overturning the Lab majority by even one vote was rightly seen as a big, big task when Dunwoody Senior popped off.
Cons to win by 6,825 votes.
Con Maj 2886
8437 Tory Majority
con maj 101
Conservative majority of 4825.
Cons win. 2008 maj.
Tories 3159
Tory majority of 3159
3327 majority to Labour.
I am not really Chris Paul but since he hasn't commented I feel justified in making up a ridiculous prediction on his behalf.
A record 189 comments already, Iain. This is how to boost voter turnout: just offer each one £100. To get the votes of an entire parliamentary constituency works out at £2.7 billion.
Dave H.
Con majority 3000.
"Barney from Killarney"
Conservative Majority - 3215
712 majority to the Conservatives.
6382 to the Conseratives
5211 win for the Tories
2500 Tories to win
2,745 for the Conservatives
3,975 to the Conservatives
3274 Maj to Edward Timpson
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