It reveals that previously loyal Labour supporters, in previously safe seats, want Brown OUT.
A swing of 12 per cent from Labour to the Tories will be enough to overturn majorities and unseat seven Cabinet Ministers, the same as Labour managed to kick out when they beat the Tories in 1997.
Those who will be out on their ears include Chancellor Alistair Darling, Justice Secretary Jack Straw, Work and Pensions Secretary John Denham, Olympics Minister Tessa Jowell and Scottish supremo Jim Murphy. Two of the new recruits to the Cabinet appointed on Friday — Culture Secretary Ben Bradshaw and Chief Secretary to the Treasury Liam Byrne — will also be dumped.
And four of the Cabinet Ministers who resigned last week — Jacqui Smith, James Purnell, Geoff Hoon and John Hutton — will get the chop as constituency MPs too. Most members of the Cabinet have safe seats, with majorities averaging 7,000. But today's poll reveals they are now under intense pressure from their own powerbase to move against Gordon Brown.
It also shows almost three-quarters of Cabinet Ministers’ voters, an overwhelming 74 per cent. believe it is now time for a change. Most of those expressing an opinion say they want their MP to tell Gordon Brown to stand down — 50 per cent as against 42 per cent. Less than half (46 per cent) of voters who backed Tony Blair in 2005 would support Gordon Brown in a General Election.
Nearly two-thirds, a huge 58 per cent, of the electorate in previously safe Labour seats think Gordon Brown is doing a poor job. Almost a third, 31 per cent. will not vote at all in a General Election because of their anger over the expenses revelations. Today’s poll shows that support for the Tories in Cabinet members’ own constituencies has shot up by 20 per cent since the 2005 election.
Conservative Leader David Cameron is now clearly heading for a massive landslide, with the most recent national poll showing he would sweep up 158 seats. Those polled by ICM said they believe David Cameron has the best ideas for cleaning up the system. Labour’s vote has dropped by 17 per cent while the Lib Dems have managed to hold on to their support, falling by just one per cent. Support for minority parties has gone up nine per cent. On Friday night Gordon Brown insisted he was staying on as Prime Minister, saying he was best qualified to sort out the political crisis.
The scale of the damage caused by the expenses scandal is clear, with a massive 82 per cent of people saying they want their local MP to stand down if he or she cheated the system over exes.
Little more than a quarter of those polled, 27 per cent, want their current MP to stand again — with 40 per cent demanding a new Labour candidate.
Only a third of voters are prepared to wait until June next year for a chance to vote, which clearly shows David Cameron’s strategy of demanding an Election now is paying off.
The poll also shows that only 46 per cent of those who backed Labour in 2005 will do so again. That compares to 51 per cent for the Lib Dems and 74 per cent for the Tories...
Saturday, June 06, 2009
Poll Shows 7 Cabinet Ministers Will Lose Seats
The News of the World has just released a poll which shows that seven Cabinet Ministers will lose their seats at the next election. ICM polled voters in 18 Cabinet Ministers' seats.