On competence, who do you most trust to deal with Britain’s economic problems, the Cameron/George Osborne team has been static since the spring on 38 per cent, against 31 per cent for Brown and Alistair Darling. The number saying neither or don’t know has more than doubled to 29 per cent since a year ago. This suggests a degree of uncertainty about whether either of the main parties’ teams can deal with current economic troubles.
Mr Brown scores well on experience, at 77 per cent against 11 per cent for Mr Cameron. But the Tory leader is ahead on good judgement, by 40 to 36 per cent, on representing change by 60 to 22 per cent, and on character by 50 to 32 per cent. Nearly everyone, 97 per cent, say good judgement is a very important attribute in a Prime Minister, while 88 per cent say experience, and virtually the same number change and character.
The change card looks a winner for the Tories. Some 65 per cent say it is time for a change (up 11 points since September last year), while 30 per cent say it is better to stick with the devil you know ( minus 13 points).
And that, Ladies & Gentlemen is the most important statistic in this poll. It's why I still believe that Gordon Brown and Labour reached a tipping point sometime in the last three months. It's possible they can recover from this situation. But then it's also possible that West Ham will win the Premier League this year...