I've just seen the IPSOS MORI poll which shows the Conservatives on 40% (-1), Lib Dems on 18% (-4) and Labour ... wait for it... on 18% (-10). The worst Michael Foot ever polled was 23.5%.
This 'other' category breaks down as follows:• Scottish/Welsh national: 4%• Greens: 6%• UKIP: 7%• BNP: 4%• Other: 3%
Only 18% (compared to 23% last month) are satisfied with the way the Government is running the country, and more than three-quarters (77%, vs. 70% last month) are dissatisfied. Taking the net rating (the per cent satisfied minus dissatisfied) puts the Government on -59, which ties for the month of July 2008 for Government's worst rating since August 1996.
The fall in Labour support is unprecedented only a few days ahead of important elections. Normally, support for the governing party consolidates during an election campaign.
The UKIP figure of 7% will disappoint them greatly. Overall, I think this poll significantly underestimates their support, but I hope I am wrong!
UPDATE: It should be noted that this poll relates to how people will vote in a general election, rather than a European election.