Let me make a prediction. By the end of this month, Michael Martin will no longer be Speaker. Indeed, I'd almost be willing to bet that he will have stepped down by the end of next week. Douglas Carswell is doing a great job, but he needs to be joined by some courageous big beasts from across all the parties. If they come forward, he's toast. Newsnight polled 173 MPs about their views on his future. 58 said he should go, 67 said they had confidence in him and 53 wouldn't say. It's safe to say a majority of those 53 want rid of him. Those figures speak for themselves.
But he doesn't just need to go. He needs to go now. Saying he will stand down at the next election is not good enough. His successor, whoever it is, needs time to 'bed in' and get to grips with the crisis facing our Parliament at the moment.
And can we just put to one side the knee jerk reaction of some, that any criticism of Michael Martin is based on class snobbery. Is Douglas Carswell a snob? Gordon Prentice? Paul Flynn? Norman Baker? Kate Hoey? Richard Shepherd? Norman Lamb? I think not. I first ran into Michael Martin in 1991 when he chaired the Ports Privatisation Standing Committee. I saw him at first hand for about 10 hours a week over a month. I thought he was an incompetent Committee Chair then and I have seen nothing to make me change my mind.
The very integrity of parliament is at stake, and I am afraid he is the roadblock to reform. He needs to go and go now. And it's up to men and women of courage in Parliament to make sure that happens.
Later today I will run a new poll on who his successor should be. Feel free to make your nominations in the comments.