The only two people sacked from the Shadow Cabinet are Oliver Heald and Hugo Swire. Swire is a great friend of Cameron's. Last summer they holidayed together, so it must have taken some giant cojones to axe one of your best friends. The thing is, the only thing Hugo Swire got wrong was the museum charges announcement. It was hardly on the level of the grammar schools debacle, yet David Willetts survived.
Oliver Heald is a really nice guy and did nothing wrong, but didn't grab the headlines. His policy work was of the highest calibre but I suspect the addition of the Home Office issues to the portfolio meant that Cameron felt he needed someone there with a wider background. I have to admit I thought that Dominic Grieve would get this post. Much as I am delighted for Nick Herbert I fail to understand why Dominic still languishes outside the Shadow Cabinet.
Guido has been having some fun today asking whether Melissa Kite or I got the most Shadow cabinet guesses right. I'll leave you to work it out for yourselves. I do not want another war.
However, for the record I predicted the following...
*That the reshuffle would be early July, not May
*Michael Gove would be the new Minister for Schools
*Nick Herbert and Jeremy Hunt would join the Shadow Cabinet
*Caroline Spelman would be the new Party Chairman
*Grant Shapps would get a big promotion
*David Ruffley wouldn't
*Eric Pickles would get Local Government
*David Willetts would be moved, not sacked
*Oliver Heald would be dropped
But the ones I got wrong...
*Nothing for Dominic Grieve
*Alan Duncan didn't move
*Theresa May survived death row
*So did Peter Ainsworth
*I didn't think Hugo Swire would be sacked
Feel free to remind me of others I got wrong!
More analysis from Ben Brogan, The Spectator, Tim Montgomerie, Dizzy, Fraser Nelson & Nick Robinson. But where are Little & Large? Have they given up on blogging?