More Poll Woes for Labour

The Telegraph has an incredible poll tomorrow. You can see the full results HERE. But here are some highlights - or lowlights if you are Gordon Brown, David Miliband, Jack Straw and especially Ed Balls!

* Conservative 47%, Labour 25%, LibDems 16%
* 15% say GB is up to the job
* 65% say GB is a liability, up from 25% in June 2007
* 44% say Labour's prospects would improve without GB
* 9% say GB "is in touch with people like me"
* With David Miliband as leader Tory lead increases to 23%
* With Jack Straw as leader Tory lead is 21%
* With Ed Balls as leader the Tory lead is 33%, with Labour behind LibDems in third place
* With Tony Blair as leader the Tory lead would be 9%

It doesn't really get much worse than that, does it? Just as well Labour MPs don't read the Daily Telegraph.

Anthony King's analysis is HERE.

ICM Poll: Record Lead for Cameron

An ICM poll for tomorrow's Guardian puts the Conservatives at 45%, twenty points ahead of Labour, six points up on last month. Labour is down to 25%, only five points ahead of the LibDems. Nearly a quarter of respondents gave the Prime Minister only one out of ten for his performance in the job in his first year.

More Bad Polls News for Gordon Brown

An ICM poll in tomorrow's Sunday Telegraph puts Labour on 26%, only 5 points ahead of the LibDems and 16 behind the Conservatives on 42%. It's Labour's worst ever showing in an ICM poll.

Labour Voters Want Shot of Brown

No one should be surprised when your political opponents call for your resignation. But when 55% of your own voters want shot of you, you know you are in trouble. Tonight's Populus poll for The Times makes grim reading for the Prime Minister. The eleven point Tory lead is the largest Populus has ever recorded. Perhaps even more worrying for Labour is this finding from the poll...

The number who trust Mr Brown and Alistair Darling most to deal with economic problems has fallen to 30 per cent, down from 43 per cent in mid-March and 61 per cent in early September.

Still, there is some solace for Gordon Brown. Chris Paul reports that tractor production continues to rise.

More Bad News for Gordon on Brown Monday

The Times has a new Populus poll tomorrow. Headline figures are

Conservative 39% +2
Labour 33 -1
LibDem 17 -2

On the face of it, that is underwhelming for all three parties, but it's important to remember that Populus consistently scores the Tories lowest of all the pollsters. A six point lead is lower than the last five or six polls from other companies. But overall the poll looks pretty bleak for Gordon Brown. Peter Riddell has the full poll analysis HERE. Other poll points of interest...

* 31% regard Brown as worse than Tony Blair
* The number of voters thinking that the economy as a whole will fare well over the next year has dropped by a quarter to 39 per cent since last September.
* The number thinking that the country as a whole will do badly has risen from 45 to 59 per cent in the past seven months.
* More than two thirds of voters (70 per cent) say that Britain is now heading in the wrong direction.
* Mr Brown’s leader rating (on a 0 to 10 index) is down again, to 4.50 from 4.59 a month ago. This is the lower than all but one month of Mr Blair’s leadership. Mr Brown’s rating among Labour voters has fallen sharply from 6.72 to 6.26.
* Last September 21 per cent believed that he had performed better than expected, now just 5 per cent do. Over the same period the number saying that he has done worse than expected has risen from 6 to 36 per cent.
* Two thirds (67 per cent) say that Mr Brown has been all talk and no action, up from 46 per cent last September.
* The proportion regarding Labour as competent and capable has fallen from 56 to 37 per cent since last September and the Conservative rating has risen from 39 to 45 per cent.

Beachy Head is thataway.

Cameron Still Ahead of Brown

An ICM poll in tomorrow's News of the World shows that David Cameron is still a way ahead of Gordon Brown as the voter's choice of future Prime Minister.

Cameron has a five-point lead over Mr Brown (42%-37%), but this is less than the advantage the Tories enjoy over Labour under Tony Blair. It's the first time this has been the case so far as I am aware. Cameron has a healthy advantage in the South East (16%) and the Midlands
(12%) and among the 25- to 34-years-olds (4%) and over-55s (9%) as well as a small 4% lead in Wales and the South West.

Gordon Brown is, however, 28 points ahead in Scotland and one point ahead in the North of England. He also has the backing of 18- to 24-year-olds by 44% to 38% while the remaining age group - those aged 45 to 54 - are split evenly between the two.

Tories On Course for Clear Majority Says New Poll

An ICM Poll in tomorrow's Guardian puts the Conservatives on 41%, Labour unchanged on 31% and the Liberal Democrats down one at 18%. This is the Conservatives best ICM poll since August 1992. If you type these figures into Electoral Calculus you get a Tory majority of 74! Con 362, Lab 239, Lib 18.

When asked which party they would support in a contest between Mr Brown, Mr Cameron and Sir Menzies Campbell, Tory support rises by two points to 43%, while Labour’s drops by three to 28% - a 15-point gap. The Lib Dems remain on 18%. When you type these figures into Electoral Calculus you get a Tory majority of 180! Well, we can but dream.

As Peter Snow would say, 'Just a bit of fun!' But seriously, every single poll in the last month has shown the Conservatives heading for government. The big question is: how will the advent of Gordon Brown affect things?

Full writeup of the poll on Guardian Online HERE.

YouGov Poll in Tomorrow's Sunday Times

There's a YouGov poll in tomorrow's Sunday Times. Highlights:-

*16% see the Prime Minister as "honest and straightforward"
*56% said they believe he handed out peerages in return for financial support for Labour.
*55% believe Mr Blair should resign as Prime Minister now - including almost a quarter of Labour supporters (24%)
53% believe the PM should resign if charges are brought against Lord Levy
*Labour one point up at 32%
*Conservatives down one point at 37%
*LibDems static at 18%