Saturday, May 16, 2009

Two New Polls Confirm Rise of the Smaller Parties

ConservativeHome has details of two polls out tonight from tomorrow's Independent and Mail. Both show the two main parties down and the LibDems more static. But the minor parties are up by a country mile.

COMRES

Con 40% (-5)
Lab 21% (-5)
Lib 18 (-)

BPIX

Con 42% (-3)
Lab 20% (-3)
Lib 15% (-2)

BPIX Euro Election Poll

Con 30% (-6)
UKIP 17% (+7)
Lab 17% (-6)
Lib 15% (-1)

This is from the Comres poll...

I am very likely to vote for one of the minor parties, such as the Green Party or UKIP, in the European elections in June
Agree 43%
Disagree 53%
40% of Labour identifiers, 36% Tory identifiers and 43% of Liberal Democrat identifiers agree with this statement. So - all the major parties are likely to be at risk of losing votes to minor parties in the European elections.

13 comments:

Anonymous said...

Presumably the BBC are about to re-run the Jane Horricks/Purple Alliance pap, to show that "decent" people vote Tiddler Party not Tory.

Anonymous said...

Labour and the Pious Liberal Democrats are doomed - DOOMED!

They are two cheeks of the same plump bottom!

Labour LD Labour - Out Out Out!

Mirtha Tidville said...

interesting that Conhome are talking about the smaller parties but only quote UKIP and not the Greens or more interestingly the BNP...unless I`ve missed something of course.

Anonymous said...

Protest parties may win seats in a frenzied situation, remember SDP, but fizzle out quickly when voters realise that the people they voted are no better!

Anonymous said...

Tory -> UKIP
Labour -> BNP
LibDem -> 50% Lab, 50% Tory

Anonymous said...

A PoliticsHome poll showed 57% of voters think that David Cameron has handled the scandal best, compared with 11% who think Brown has.
That was before Nadine Dorries proved that he couldn't even handle his own party.
It looks like the Tories have blown the significant lead they had worked so hard to build up.

Anonymous said...

Tonights revelations that labours election co-ordinator, Fraser Kemp has, been yet another mass buyer of plasma TVs and DVD players will not help labours vote.

The overwhelming preponderance of Labours MPs in this list is not helping them. UKIP is mired in scandal in terms of EU expenses - so a swing to them does not indicate a particular vein of common sense coursing through the electorate.

Sadly if you put a child in a candy store - what is to be expected?

ukipwebmaster said...

This poll reflects what we've been finding on the doorsteps and with UKIP's campaign about to step up a notch I honestly think that we will go even higher on polling day.

Local variations also come into play and things look particularly good for us in the UKIP heartland of the South West.

Simon Gardner said...

Oh goodie. Fraser Kemp - as in “Bugger, I’ve just trodden in some Fraser Kemp”.

Nadine Dorries, then Fraser Kemp; I’m in heaven.

Simon Gardner said...

And in Scotland:
SNP - 40%
Lab - 21%
LD - 14%
Con - 13%
Oth - 12%

Martin S said...

Saturday update. Udin owns mansion, Queen talks to Gordon, plus much more!And there's something about the UKIP/Labour fight re the Euro elections, too...

Anonymous said...

Polls oh dear,

Loved by Westminster often so very, very wrong.

Helpful for herding sheep except the UK population does not go Baaaaaaaa! so much at the mo it seems.

Twig said...

Cameron and Tebbit. Who has acted with more courage – and who would you rather follow?