Monday, July 02, 2007

The New Shadow Cabinet - List & Analysis

Here's the new Shadow Cabinet. The formal announcement has just been sent out in a press release from CCHQ. Check back over the next hour or two as I expand this post with some analysis...

Chancellor: George Osborne
No one ever seriously thought he would be moved. His appointment as General Election coordinator is welcome. He understands campaigning, especially on the internet. Expect some eye-catching initiatives in web campaigning.
Home Secretary: David Davis
The only one at the top not to be given extra responsibilities. Indeed, it is not clear whether Dame Pauline Neville Jones will report to DD or to DC on security matters.
Foreign Secretary: William Hague
Made it clear he did not wish to be moved, but has agreed to take on extra responsibilities. Gets a highly competent number two in David Lidington - his former PPS. Hague will be happy, and that's very important.
Schools: Michael Gove
Possibly the best appointment of the whole reshuffle (especially since I predicted it!). If I were his opposite number Ed Balls I'd not be sleeping too well tonight.
Skills & Universities: David Willetts
David Willetts will be relieved not to have been culled. He won't be pleased to have lost schools from his portfolio, but there is a huge job to do to develop an exciting vocational training policy and Willetts may be just the man to do it.
Health: Andrew Lansley
David Cameron has a high regard for Andrew Lansley. He is very experienced in the post. Some of us had wondered whether he might be due for a move as he's been there a long time and Cameron might have wanted a more aggressive spokesman to counter the PR skills of Alan Johnson.
Transport: Theresa Villiers
Villiers moves from the relatively anonymous position of Shadow to Chief Secretary to a real frontline role. She also has an opportunity to shine against the hapless Ruth Kelly. Villiers has a sharp wit and is much edgier than she is given credit for. The transport sector should not underestimate her.
Trade & Industry: Alan Duncan
I'm disappointed he wasn't given Environment, which is sorely in need of an effective media performer.
Local Government: Eric Pickles
Excellent appointment. Eric has the total confidence of the Party and has proved himself over the years to everyone. He was the main architect of the May election victories and this promotion is a recognition of that.
Chairman of the Party: Caroline Spelman
I've made clear that I thought Francis Maude should have been kept in post, but I don't have a downer on Caroline in the way that ConHome have. I think she needs to develop a sparkier TV presence and we know nothing of her organisational skills. She must concentrate on the political and media role and appoint a seasoned deputy to take on the party organisation part of the job.
Chief Whip: Patrick McLoughlin
His position was never in doubt.
Environment: Peter Ainsworth
This is a difficult one. Peter hasn't done anything wrong, but he just hasn't hit the headlines on a subject which is at the forefront of Conservative policy. That's why I thought Alan Duncan would have been a good appointment for this job.
Justice: Nick Herbert
He's a big mate of mine so forgive me being especially pleased for him. Nick has proved himself in his previous job as Shadow Minister for Police Reform. He's an original thinker and will relish the task of getting stuck into the constitutional affairs work which Gordon Brown's statement tomorrow will provide.
Work & Pensions: Chris Grayling
At first sight this is an odd move for one of the Party's best headline grabbers - but on reflection that's why he's been moved here. Philip Hammond was excellent at the policy development side and Cameron is known to think highly of him. But rather like Peter Ainsworth, Philip didn't get a huge amount of media coverage . It will be highly entertaining to watch Grayling grapple with Hain.
Cabinet Office: Francis Maude
Francis was devastated to leave CCHQ. I suspect he was only persuaded to take this job with the addition of the policy implentation brief. He will act as a fixer and progress chaser with a roving brief across all portfolios.
Leader of the House of Commons: Theresa May
Theresa has escaped the axe by the skin of her teeth. She will be expected to wipe the floor of the House of Commons with Harriet Harman.
DCMS: Jeremy Hunt
The only bad thing about this promotion is that the Disabled have lost a very powerful advocate. Jeremy is a first class performer and could well be a big star of the future. He's the antithesis of a tribal party politician.
Northern Ireland: Owen Paterson
I suppose this appointment comes under the category 'sop to the Cornerstone Group'. Owen is a tenacious hard worker - his work on fisheries was outstanding - but I think even his best friend would have been surprised at this promotion.
Leader of the Lords: Lord Strathclyde
He's an effective performer and liked by everyone.
International Development: Andrew Mitchell
Was a contender for the chairmanship but that would have been a controversial appointment. He is enjoying his current job, and on the eve of his trip to Rwanda it would have been strange to move him. I expect him to get an extra junior team member tomorrow to mirror the DFID setup.
Defence: Liam Fox
Having been offended by stories saying he faced the chop he buckled down and has proved himself to Cameron. Liam has had a difficult year snce the leadership election but I think he is now finding his feet again.
Chief Secretary to the Treasury: Philip Hammond
Philipm Hammond can be a tough negotiator and is ideally suited to this role. He didn't carve out a media niche in his previous job and won't need to here. His role will be to say no.
Wales: Cheryl Gillan and Scotland: David Mundell
Cheryl Gillan has done a good job in Wales, while David Mundell may have retained his position partly because there is no alternative.
Policy: Oliver Letwin
He now has three people watching his every move. Some argued he should have been taken out of the front line, but that would have been too embarrassing for everyone. Hague, George Bridges and Francis Maude will all have roles in policy development and implementation.
Community Cohesion: Sayeeda Warsi
Some will see this as the most controversial and risky appointment of the reshuffle. Sayeeda is prone to speak her mind and will need to learn the constraints of collective responsibility, but she knows that. On the two occasions I have seen her on Question Time she has been absolutely superb. I know David Cameron's email inbox is filled with people waxing lyrical about her whenever she appears. No doubt her appointment will be viewed with some ambivalence by the more traditional elements, but she's not there just because she's an Asian woman - she's there because she has talent. It's up to her now to show everyone what she can do.
Security: Dame Pauline Neville Jones
On the face of it this is a seriously good appointment, but I am nervous about how she will fit in with the Home Affairs brief, or whether she will want to be independent of it.
Housing: Grant Shapps
I am assuming that Grant will be giving up his campaigning brief to take on this most important of portfolios. This is a good thing. He risked being pigeonholed as a campaigning expert. However, I hope he retains the portfolio until the current by elections are out of the way.
Foreign Office: David Lidington
On the face of it a demotion, having been replaced as Shadow Northern Ireland Secretary, but in reality it still gives him a seat at the top table as William Hague's deputy. I suspect it's a role he will relish.

52 comments:

Anonymous said...

So you take the mickey out of getting outsiders in, and then do it yourself.

Christ, you don't have to do everything Labour do, you know?

Anonymous said...

Congratulations Grant Shapps.

Iain Dale said...

Xerxes, and who might they be then? Dame P N J was already heading up the Security Commission. Sayeeda is a Tory candidate.

Move along now. Nothing to see.

Anonymous said...

Maude is sacked as chairman and given ... Social Exclusion! Could he not, perhaps, be made shadow minister for Coventry?

Anonymous said...

"Policy: Oliver Letwin"

'Are you 'aving a laff?'

Anonymous said...

"Michael Gove...If I were his opposite number Ed Balls I'd not be sleeping too well tonight." Ha-ha, I like your irony Iain. Labour will be delighted with Gove's appointment. If the rest of the shadow cabinet are Martians, Michael Gove comes from Planet Zog..

Anonymous said...

Noooo! Where's Dominic Grieve?

(And I'm disappointed Alan Duncan didn't get a major promotion).

Anonymous said...

Sincerely hope that Ms Spelman will be given much-needed voice training, since her high-pitched squeak blots out everything she is trying to communicate.

Anonymous said...

Captain Spaulding said...

Labour will be delighted with Gove's appointment. If the rest of the shadow cabinet are Martians, Michael Gove comes from Planet Zog..

I do not agree. As an ordinary but reasonably well informed voter I have to say that Mr Gove comes across intelligently and articulately on TV. He knows how to use words to good effect to make a point (and I do not mean spin). I do think Mr Balls wil have his work cut out. Housing is going to be a major issue along with the economy in general come the next election and it could be abig Labour vote loser.

Anonymous said...

What the hell is "social cohesion"? Another Sovietesque encroachment. Cameron's as controlling as Stalin and Blair.

And how truly absurd his claim to be 'heir to Blair' sounds now that Blair is so yesterday's man.

Anonymous said...

Anonymous said

July 02, 2007 8:36 PM

Apologies.. I made a bit of a Balls of that last post.

It should read as follows:

I do think Mr Balls wil have his work cut out. Education is going to be a major issue along with the economy in general come the next election and it could be a big Labour vote loser.

Alex said...

Where's Boris?

Anonymous said...

Had hoped for Michael Gove instead of DC, but I guess true modernizing will take time ...

Anonymous said...

What has Alan Duncan done to earn your obsession? Sneering, sniggering self-satisfaction - as deployed so disastrously against QD on Newsnight - doesn't tend to go down well with the public.

Iain Dale said...

Obsession? Oh please do get a life. I think he is a very capable media performer. You don;t. Big deal.

Anonymous said...

Is Ed Vaizey on the list? He ought to be.
All in all, a good reshuffle, promoting younger MPs like Jeremy Hunt who have a lot of potential.

simonh said...

Pauline Neville-Jones is a bad choice. Lots of experience, yes, but an amoral pragmatist in the Hurd mould who was happy to do deals with the Serbs. Her instinct - very old Foreign Office - will be to compromise, do deals and smooth troubled waters rather than confront the corrupt, dictatorial and dangerous.

The Reverend Doctor said...

Blimey what a sad bunch they make. As well as the delicious irony of Michael Gove making Ed Balls sleep badly (are you really that out of touch Iain?!), Alan Duncan as effective in the media? Did you see him on Newsnight when Q Davies should have been taken to the cleaners? Duncan was truly awful.

Still, with just 12 Old Etonians in the pack this Tory party is now REALLY in touch with people, right?

Anonymous said...

Iain, what happened to Dominic Grieve? You mentioned in a recent Telegraph aricle he would be good at the Ministry of Justice.

I agree, he is a very good TV performer and clearly a very intelligent and deep thinking lawyer too.

Anonymous said...

Iain, really: "the Disabled have lost a very powerful advocate"?

How are "the Blacks" and "the Gays" getting on?

Anonymous said...

Michael Gove would certainly make me sleep badly. Not only is he from Planet Zog, he's a quacky voiced stuffed shirted cleverclogs who looks just like Mr Bean. The stuff of nightmares.

Iain Dale said...

Oh FFS. What politically correct term should I have used? Idiot.

Steve Horgan said...

Gove is intelligent and articulate. Balls is stumbling and incomprehensible in comparison. I agree that he will not be happy with his new shadow, then again pretty much any Conservative front-bencher could outperform him.

Anonymous said...

Iain. Any chance of helping me out with what the reshuffle means for Oliver Heald?

Anonymous said...

If you're happy talking about "the Disabled", "the Blacks", "the Gays", "the Muslims", "the Women", then fine, Iain.

Anonymous said...

Nothing to tell us about Maude then? And what happened to Dominic Grieve?

Iain Dale said...

Anonymous at 9.39, no come on, you started it. What term should I use?

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Anonymous said...

So, not only was Melissa Kite's reshuffle story in the Sunday Telegraph absolute bollox - but the News of the World's political editor Ian Kirby predicted there wouldn't even be a reshuffle this week!
What an utterly brilliant pair - If I was their respective editors, I'd be asking for a refund.
Might as well get a lowly paid reporter to copy out Iain's blog, far more likely to be accurate.

Unknown said...

Okay, great fine, super.

Now tell me who is it that's going to list Brown's crimes against the Hard Working Over Taxed Families?

And when exactly will we be done with NuStalin?

2br02b said...

Why are you getting so excited about DC rearranging the deck-chairs on the Titanic?

hatfield girl said...

If I woke up tomorrow to find William Hague at the Foreign Office, David Davis running the Home Ofice, Grant Shapps in charge of Housing, Pauline Neville Jones dealing with Security and David Cameron running the country, I'd think I'd woken from a nightmare where Gordon brown had taken power without election and Jack Straw was his side kick, aided and abetted by a horrifying bunch of tainted Labour has beens.

David Lindsay said...

How, exactly, do Ed Balls and Michael Gove disagree about anything?

Olly Onions said...

important shadow cabinet deelopments:
http://ollysonions.blogspot.com/2007/07/shadow-cabinet-surprise-as-austrian-nun.html

Anonymous said...

Sorry Iain but I don't agree. This is a largely uninspiring reshuffle that missed most of the chances to do something radical and appealing.

Your piece does look rather like it reflected your candidates list position more than your true insights into this one, especially since the only truly negative remark concerns Cornerstone.

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Anonymous said...

Sayeeda Warsi deserved better than to be shuffled off to the Lords. Perhaps she was just a little too bluntly spoken and commonsense for the the ModCons.

Hugo Swire made an idiotic and ill-considered announcement about museum charging just to be noticed. What the public perceived was the Tories resenting the great unwashed traipsing through places which should be reserved for their betters. That is why Swires has gone.

Willetts set off a row over grammar schools without ever understanding what the argument was about. As an ex-grammarian myself, I couldn't really care whether they build more or not. What raised my hackles was his silly assertion that they did nothing to assist the working class. They did actually but that was when every industrial town had one or two of them.
Once again, the statement did not need to be made at all, or at that time. Willetts showed a lack of political nous and will be further demoted in time.

Victor

Tapestry said...

Not surprised at all by Owen Paterson's promotion.


Highly effective operator. tireless campaigner. boils things down to the detail, and keeps on about the problems until something gets done. It used to be called good management.

Nowadays, soundbite scriptwriters are believed to be all that's needed...a good image and friends at the top table. Owen Paterson is one politician who knows what politicians are actually meant to be doing -running the country.

Shame they missed John Hayes - another one.


Best Friend of Owen Paterson.

Iain Dale said...
This comment has been removed by the author.
Anonymous said...

What, no Grieve! Fools.

Anonymous said...

I agree that Michael Gove is excellent - but is there really much to debate about housing?

Hugo Swire bit the dust because DC is clearly smarting at the allegations that there are too manu OEs in the shadow cabinet.

I think David Willets will be shuffled off completely at the next change - he may be very brainy but showed himself to be politically naive.

Alan Duncan - a good communicator? -his performance on Newsnight was diabolical. He came over as a complete prat. He is a weird cocktail of both smarmyness and superciliousness. When will the Conservative Party realise that the voters are turned off by politicians like him?

George Osbourne - still there - I make no comment.

Anonymous said...

Owen Paterson shifted to Northern Ireland, I should have thought, to ensure that there is one Cornerstone member on the Front Benches but he cannot speak on matters European (or very many others, given the existence of the Assembly). How to shut people up. Quite clever, really. Shame none of that cleverness ever goes into intelligent policies.

Anonymous said...

I like the reshuffle. I would still like to see Ed Vaizey, Boris Johnson and Adam Afriyie on the frontbench at some point in the future though.

Cicero said...

Iaian- it is a pretty poor reshuffle: the only faint improvement is Michael Gove, who at least thinks about the issues.

However this is rather off set by the future "Baroness" Neville Jones. Frankly given her history, she should not be let within 10 miles of Westminister. I suspect this may prove to be a very serious mistake indeed.

Anonymous said...

Had never heard of Warsi till this reshuffle. A look on google and I am quite uneasy. Bringing in a one time election loser at the age of 36 into the Lords hardly mirrors the appointments of Brown. The ‘experience’ she brings (other than a few years as a lawyer – because of course there are none of them already in Westminster) is that she is a Muslim, a Northerner and a woman. If she is a rising star then the Lords seems to be the wrong place to put her. It rather diminishes her credibility with the public before she’s had a chance to build any. I take it the plan must be for her to win a seat at a later date and resign her title. It smacks a little of desperation. i.e. quick we need more Muslims/Women/Northerners/Ethnic minorities in the front bench. Lets stick someone in the Lords who ticks all the boxes and not bother waiting for her to win a seat.

I’m not impressed with her take on terrorism either.

http://news.bbc.co.uk/2/hi/uk_news/politics/4695797.stm

Her response to the London bombings was to declare that “We need to bring these groups into the fold of the democratic process.” This is a capitulation. Her IRA analogy is false because their political wing showed they had the support of a large minority within Northern Ireland. So in a sense they had their democratic mandate for inclusion in talks. You cannot simultaneously claim that the terrorists are a tiny minority and then assert that because of their violence they should be brought “into the fold of the democratic process” without perverting the meaning of democratic. Furthermore the IRA had real world achievable aims, recognised the legitimacy of their opponent and were rational enough to compromise. Al Qaeda and it’s affiliates don’t have realistic aims (‘reparation’ of all oil money stolen from the Arab states, destruction of Israel, restoration of the Caliphate), they do not recognise the legitimacy of any current state and they have never shown a willingness to compromise.

As for community cohesion well in the same article linked above she doesn’t seem to think that the Muslim community needs to worry about terrorism because “when you say this is something that the Muslim community needs to weed out, or deal with, that is a very dangerous step to take”. I must say I preferred the Yasmin Alibhai-Brown article you linked to a couple of days ago. It’s a sad day when I agree with her over a Tory cabinet member.
On her website though there is an article from June06 that appears to contradict the above. Her she says that “for too long, the moderate majority - of all faiths or none - have allowed the vocal, extremist minority to hijack a legitimate area for discussion. We must never allow these fringe elements to define our culture or drive a wedge between communities.” This doesn’t fit with the 7/7 response of we must speak with the extremists and bring them into the democratic fold. So I guess I’m back to being agnostic.
She may indeed be a rising star, very clever etc but her position on this issue is not one I can support. I await with interest to see what she does now. It would be a disaster if her July 05 utterances became Tory policy.

Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
Anonymous said...
This comment has been removed by a blog administrator.
maria said...

It all seems irrelevant - Tory politicians faffing about. Gordon Brown has appointed regional ministers, effectively breaking up England - not a word from the Opposition. Gordon Brown has just declared that he does not intend to answer the West Lothian Question. Not a word from the Opposition. No wonder apathy rules and people don't bother to vote.

Anonymous said...

"I take it the plan must be for her to win a seat at a later date and resign her title."

If this is the plan it is a very poor one as you would need legislation to be able to resign a life peerage. The only way she could ever now be in the Commons would be if the present House of Lords set-up were abolished/"reformed". Ironically all known versions of such "reform" would not allow for either the PM or Cameron to have brought in outsiders in the way they just have.

Anonymous said...

Why are posts drawing attention to Sayeeda Wasi's homophobic 2005 campaign literature being deleted? If you do not believe the story and are worried about being sued check out http://uk.gay.com/headlines/8483?/. Surely Sayeeda would have received damages for libel if this isn't true? It's not like you to be so draconian about posts!

Anonymous said...

Lovely to see you focusing such attention on us in the principalities.