Nick Robinson reckons Gordon Brown will rule out an autumn election in a statement later today, and may even rule one out until 2009. More later...
UPDATE: At 3.15 Nick Robinson posted on his blog that an ICM poll of marginal constituencies showed a significant Tory lead. He ended the blogpost saying: "Surely they will have to confirm soon that there will be no snap election." Half an hour later, at 3.50pm the story appeared on the BBC News website that Brown is expected to rule out an election. So in that half an hour Nick Robinson was presumably told by Gordon Brown directly, rather than one of his spinners, that the election was off. Otherwise I doubt whether Nick would have gone so strongly with it.
UPDATE: Tim Montgomerie on ConservativeHome actually had the scoop at 3.22pm. The biggest scoop so far for the blogosphere?
UPDATE: No, it was Danny Finkelstein at 1.50pm HERE. Unless, as Esther would say, you know better. Or was it Cyril?