On a Knife-edge

More details on The Guardian/ICM poll. It shows a swing away from the LibDems in the LibDem/Con marginals to us of 1.5%. If you bear in mind that I only need a swing of 0.43% to win you will see that the result is very much on a knife-edge. The LibDem tactic of trying to persuade Labour voters to vote tactically seems to be failing. Certainly my experience is that we are picking up more Labour votes than I had expected. At last, a poll which reflects what I have felt on the ground.