Sunday, May 31, 2009

Survey Results: How You Vote

This is the first part of the results of the 2009 Blog Survey I asked you to take part in last week. A massive 2,400 of you took part, more than ever before.

Rather in line with national polls, there is a noticeable shift in support from the three main parties to the minor parties among by blog readers.

Conservative 65% (-5%)
LibDem 8% (-3%)
Labour 5% (-5%)
UKIP 4% (+2%)
SNP 3% (+1%)
BNP 2% (+1%)
Green 2% (+1%)
Others were all below 1%
Won't Vote 3.6% (-1.3%)

  • 75% of you haven't changed your vote since 2005
  • 4.4% have switched from Labour to Conservative
  • 3.6% have switched from LibDem to Conservative
  • 2.8% have switched from Conservative to UKIP
  • 0.2% have switched from UKIP to Conservative
  • 61% (+5) of you expect a Conservative majority of more than 50 seats
  • 32% (-3) of you expect a Conservative majority of less than 50 seats
  • 75% (-6) of you think Gordon Brown will lead Labour into the next election
  • 34% (-7) of you are members of a political party
Note: 2,400 of you took part in this survey
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7 comments:

  1. LizMay 31, 2009 12:26 am

    I suspect that like other sensible people you may have gone to bed now - but have you seen tomorrow's Sunday Times front page? Apparently, Gordon thinks Ed Balls would be a splendid chancellor. I am hoping I have enough degrees to apply for US citizenship.

    (Incidentally, something has definitely been going on at Google in the last few weeks. WV is Dinglor. This can't possibly be accidental.)

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  2. FaustyMay 31, 2009 12:33 am

    What percentage of your readership is actively Labour?

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  3. AnonymousMay 31, 2009 2:46 am

    I'm surprised that as many as 75% think that GB will lead Labour into the next election.

    Times: Ed Balls widely respected in the City? Which one? Vladivostock?

    Mail: Cameron's mortgage arrangements....

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  4. EdMay 31, 2009 8:08 am

    This comment has been removed by the author.

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  5. WilliamMay 31, 2009 9:00 am

    Be aware, however, that your statistics could be affected by a number of people leaving your blog, and a number of new people arriving.

    Also, if you have increased readership compared to last year, we should in theory be more representative of society, which implies that 65% Tory might equate to a higher proportion of blog-readers overall than 70% last year.

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  6. mouseMay 31, 2009 10:13 am

    To the 5% (approx. 100 people) planning on voting Labour: Why? why? why? Are you all payroll vote?

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  7. georgeorwellslittlesisterMay 31, 2009 2:25 pm

    I started to fill in the survey, until I reached the question about income; a question that normally has the option of "prefer not to say". At that stage I gave up.
    We know from personal experience that the IR monitors television programmes to see if they can catch people; given the universal spying on all our emails, I am sure they can track back to the blogger on this question. Why make life easy for them?
    p.s. Mr. Darling, I am very poor thanks to you and your boss's policies. So don't bother to send round your thugs, unless they would like to crack open the grandchildren's piggy bank.

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