I'll give a prize of £100 of books and DVDs to anyone who correctly guesses the size (in actual votes - and to the right party!) of the majority in Crewe & Nantwich. Leave your predictions in the comments.
Also, click HERE to take part in the poll to predict the result. We'll see if readers of this blog are better predictors than those who take part in the PoliticsHome daily poll of Westminster villagers.
3250 to the Tories.
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 5,182.
ReplyDelete1783
ReplyDeleteconservative maj of 3,971
ReplyDelete7,127
ReplyDeleteTories.
Conservatives, 2971
ReplyDeleteConservative 5552
ReplyDeleteconservatives to win by 1,125 votes
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 5,750.
ReplyDelete"Staffs knot"
3873 Tory.
ReplyDeleteI think it will be 1-1 after extra time followed by a shoot out in the old goods siding.
ReplyDeletefreedom to prosper
2,391 to the scum (Tories).
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 2,761
ReplyDeleteConservatives 602
ReplyDeleteI'm going to go with my original prediction of a 1367 majority for the Tories.
ReplyDeleteConservatives: 2160 majority
ReplyDeleteDue a blue win this week, so
ReplyDeleteTBT to take the seat from that posh bint from Wales with a 1650 majority.
3752 to the Conservatives
ReplyDeleteEdward Timpson (Conservatives) by 2200.
ReplyDeleteTory majority of 2,049
ReplyDeleteTory win by 2,500 votes. Lib Dems in 2nd place!
ReplyDeleteLabour retain the seat with majority of 124
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 2168
ReplyDelete5362 Tory boy majority.
ReplyDelete4750 majority to the Conservatives on a 50% turnout.
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 2768
ReplyDeleteTory win 2472 majority.
ReplyDelete3750 to the Tories..
ReplyDeleteZorro
.
Tory win by 4724
ReplyDelete3750 to the Tories...
ReplyDeleteZorro.
Conservative majority of 3431
ReplyDeleteEdward Timpson majority of 4,432
ReplyDeletecon maj.5,401
ReplyDelete1092 to conservative
ReplyDeleteTories 4456
ReplyDelete2790 to the Tories.
ReplyDelete3,541 to Tories.
ReplyDeleteBarry, Taunton
7200 majority for Timpson - and a trip to Scots Tory conf in Ayr thrown in.
ReplyDeleteTories by 1,542 ...
ReplyDeleteCon Maj of 6,664
ReplyDelete4695 Conservative majority.
ReplyDeleteNuLab implode in about a fortnight.
Brown bricked up inside his bunker and forgotten.
Well, how accurate do we need to be?
ReplyDeleteI'm predicting around 8000 majority to the Conservatives.
Tories by 1,889.
ReplyDeleteTory majority by 1822
ReplyDelete1280 to the Blues...
ReplyDeleteConservatives by 6,454
ReplyDelete(Still stuck with the Oaten-brown banner then?)
Marquee Mark
966 to Labour
ReplyDeleteTimpson to win by by 4207
ReplyDeleteLabour win narrowly by 240 votes - cava popping in number 10 tonight. Tory commentators wishful thinking about a blowout comes not to pass.
ReplyDelete4927 to the Tories
ReplyDeleteTory majority 1706.
ReplyDeleteMonster Raving loony party majority of 7
ReplyDeleteLabour Majority of 400
ReplyDeleteTories with 4002.
ReplyDelete5032 to the Tories!
ReplyDeleteTory
ReplyDeleteMaj 4,236
1053 Tory win
ReplyDeleteCon+4325
ReplyDelete2,452 to the Tories.
ReplyDeleteConservative win with 1060 majority
ReplyDelete6236 Tory majority.
ReplyDeleteTories with 6,742 majority
ReplyDeleteTory majority of 5734
ReplyDeleteTory majority 2500
ReplyDelete500 majority for Labour, against the sound of knives being sharpened for Gordon throughout the summer.
ReplyDelete4691 irradiated haggis ...sorry ..conservative majority.
ReplyDeleteToby G
Tories by 3113 votes.
ReplyDelete3,342 to the Tories
ReplyDeleteLabour win with majority of 15,000. Tories beaten into fourh place behind lib dems and the Monstyer raving loony party. Tory leader found having hs carriage pulledf by a lama.
ReplyDelete10020 Tory Majority
ReplyDeleteAs a non-Tory, something high enough to create a momentum for Brown's removal, I hope.
Conservative majority of 7,208
ReplyDeleteTories win by two votes, but a scandal is found as it is found two of the Tory candiates lamas had been given the vote. So it is thoguht he only won because of two lamas, But then it is found they had voted for labour. But then it is found they had vote for labour because the did not like the tory MP. Animals lovers turn on tory MP forcing him to resign. Tory leader then reigns too.
ReplyDelete3854 conservative majority
ReplyDeleteTory majority of 4,631.
ReplyDeleteConservative: 3023
ReplyDeleteConservative: 3023
ReplyDeleteTory majority of 4711
ReplyDelete872 to the Tories
ReplyDeleteCon majority 9,654. No, really.
ReplyDelete7,368 to the Tories.
ReplyDelete4800 to Timpson
ReplyDeleteMiss Great Britain by 69.
ReplyDelete4256 Con Maj
ReplyDeleteMajority of 2750 Tamsin Dunwoody.
ReplyDelete3217 Conservatives
ReplyDeleteCameron prmised that if he won he would streak down crewe high street naked in a top hat. Carriyng a whip, pulling a horse anc carriage behind him full of Bulligndon boys..
ReplyDeleteThe PM promised tha if labour won he would put himself in the st5ocks for the people of crwere to throw vegetbales at him.
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 7,112.
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 3124
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 4144 votes.
ReplyDeleteconservative majority 2,831
ReplyDeleteEdward Timpson (Cons) by 4522
ReplyDeleteTimpson, Conservative majority by 4309
ReplyDeleteAh DES,
ReplyDeleteAs your last half decent leader used to say "edjucashun, edjucashun, edjucashun"
And long may the Tory leader reign.
ps save the llamas.
Iain, do you include postal votes?No postal votes - Tories, 6.889 majority
ReplyDeleteWith postal votes - Labour, 7 majority (The Khan family made the difference!)
Why can't I predict a UKIP win in your online vote?
ReplyDeleteDES... point of information... there are more lamas around than you might think. They discourage foxes from attacking lambs.
ReplyDelete1,582 to Tories
ReplyDeleteTravis Bickle Typical top hats making fun of my comprehensive education. You despise the working and middle class you toffs think us poor are just here to clean and polish you shoes, By the way I have postgraduate qualifications so I need no lectures from an oaf like you on edcuation LOL.
ReplyDeleteConservative majorityv3,581
ReplyDeleteTimpson by 3,210. Mugabe duly reports to Westminster on Friday morning.
ReplyDeleteIn an idle moment I averaged the predictions above (disregarding a couple of sillies but including Labour wins). The score:
ReplyDelete3419 to the Tories
Let's see how acurate your readers are, Iain. Oh, and that's my prediction for the 100 quid.
2084 to the Tories
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 6328.
ReplyDelete541 to the Tories.
ReplyDeleteSTB.
Conservatives, 2781.
ReplyDeleteGordon Brown 0, David Cameron 1.
183 to the scum (Labour)
ReplyDeleteTimpson by 8500.
ReplyDeleteCon by 1059
ReplyDeleteConservatives by 3,050
ReplyDeleteConservatives 2,556
ReplyDelete8,888 to the Tory toff
ReplyDeleteLabour 79,098
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 3,456
ReplyDeleteConservative 1087
ReplyDeleteConservative majority 2987
ReplyDeleteCNH
472 (Cons)
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 598.
ReplyDeleteTories by 1,512 after extra time & penalties.
ReplyDeletetories by 900
ReplyDelete1872 - Conservative majority
ReplyDeleteI am more skeptical, Tory majority of 993.
ReplyDelete2473 for Timpson :-)
ReplyDeleteConservatives by 4,220.
ReplyDeleteWould be nice to believe the press and that no one is voting Labour at all, but I suspect we are starting to get the opposite effect of late in last Tory Govt, where people were embarassed to admit they will vote for Govt.
In the unlikely event of my wining, please donate prize to Save the children.
Conservative majority of 6,677 votes
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 7363
ReplyDelete1732 to the Tories.
ReplyDelete6213 to the Conservatives
ReplyDeleteTories by 3817
ReplyDeleteConservative - 867
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 2254
ReplyDeleteTories to win by 1280 votes.
ReplyDeletetories majority 3856
ReplyDeleteCons maj of 5235
ReplyDeleteforecast by oldtimer
Conservative +4105
ReplyDeleteCon 17,394 Lib Dem 12,393 Lab - 11,958 Others - 1739 - Conservative Majority - 5,001
ReplyDeleteDES
ReplyDeletePostgraduate qualifications, I'm impressed. What in? Your wildest dreams perchance.
Labour Majority of 500
ReplyDeleteConservative Win by 1879 based on 40.4% of vote Lab 36.3% and Lib 20.0 others 3.3%
ReplyDelete1765 to the blues..
ReplyDelete6255
ReplyDeleteConservative majority 1,028
ReplyDeleteMike, Whiteley.
Gemma Garrett by 36-24-36
ReplyDeleteI predict...
ReplyDelete4112 Conservative Maj.
(will be absolutely delighted if if I've under-estimated)
Con Majority 2439
ReplyDeleteThe don't deserve to win it, mind but Labour deserve to lose it.
4,525 to the Tories
ReplyDeleteA Timpson win....!
ReplyDelete2,897 Vote lead
Tamsin Dunwoody rejected by Wales and now England too. An ignominious end to the memory of Gwyneth.
Conservative victory by 2336 votes by ellan_vannin
ReplyDeleteI actually make my real prediction, now I be nose that theres' be prizes up.
ReplyDeleteConservatives 14,321
Labour 10,900
Lib dems 9,567
Beat that no lamas were hurt in this prediction;
Tory majority of 9,127 votes
ReplyDeleteThe Blue Corner, by 3337 votes
ReplyDelete1,423 to the Tories. I think it's going to be a lot closer than people are predicting.
ReplyDeleteCons. majority of 4,261
ReplyDeleteBTW I googled the Labour Party site and found this comment on it from Chris Lennie, Acting General Secretary of the Labour Party:
"Worth gambling? Not when your families (sic) future is on the line."
"Education, education, education" - indeed!
2355 for the boy Timpson
ReplyDeleteWhen I win how do I prove i'm in a very real sense, me?
Con maj of 11,021
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 1,513
ReplyDeleteTimpson 1234
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 3,333
ReplyDeleteSad to say, Tories by 851
ReplyDelete4138 Tories
ReplyDeleteConservatives: 7,462
ReplyDeleteConservatives majority 8,001
ReplyDeleteI think that terribly terribly nice chap Timpson will win by about 2000 votes.
ReplyDeleteGordon will struggle on for a bit but basically everyone will forget about zaNuLiebore and Dave will sweep to victory. His first act will be to Knight or Crown John Terry, anything to stop the poor sod crying.
C'mon you blues!
Labour victory by 1 vote after postal votes are taken into account; why else do we have to wait until 3am for the declaration. Labour have learnt from Robert Mugabe's experiences, Zanu/Labour will rule for ever.
ReplyDeleteconservative majority 2357
ReplyDeletetimpson by a whisker
ReplyDeleteDES leaves comments here but there's no provision for comment on his site.
ReplyDeleteLabour hold with a majority of between 150 and 500
ReplyDeleteLady Finchley predicts 4631
ReplyDeleteConservative
ReplyDelete+ 9135
chris_g00
ReplyDeletei don't want to ruin the suspense but tories win by a majority of 4,850
Turnout: 50%, Total number of votes cast: 38,500
ReplyDeleteTamsin Dunwoody [Lab]: 15,000, Elizabeth Shenton [LibDem]: 4,500 Edward Timpson [Con]: 18,500 Others: 500
Conservative majority: 3,500
or 3,531, which is the number I'm submitting to Iain Dale
Tory majority: 1345
ReplyDelete3842 to the Tories.
ReplyDelete2808 to the Tories.
ReplyDeleteHre is my brave prediction
ReplyDeleteTories 14,234
Labour 10,904
Lib Dems 9,567
Labour's hate filled hypocrite wins by 504
ReplyDelete2,231 to the conservatives
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 2197
ReplyDeleteTory win by 9567 votes.
ReplyDelete4502 tories
ReplyDeleteIt will be closer than some people think. Conservative win: majority 1792. Still a MASSIVE swing Lab to Con though.
ReplyDeleteZaNuLab will try to portray it as 'disappointing for Dave' even though overturning the Lab majority by even one vote was rightly seen as a big, big task when Dunwoody Senior popped off.
Cons to win by 6,825 votes.
ReplyDeleteCon Maj 2886
ReplyDelete8437 Tory Majority
ReplyDeletecon maj 101
ReplyDeleteConservative majority of 4825.
ReplyDeleteCons win. 2008 maj.
ReplyDeleteTories 3159
ReplyDeleteTory majority of 3159
ReplyDelete3327 majority to Labour.
ReplyDeleteI am not really Chris Paul but since he hasn't commented I feel justified in making up a ridiculous prediction on his behalf.
A record 189 comments already, Iain. This is how to boost voter turnout: just offer each one £100. To get the votes of an entire parliamentary constituency works out at £2.7 billion.
Dave H.
Con majority 3000.
ReplyDelete"Barney from Killarney"
Conservative Majority - 3215
ReplyDelete712 majority to the Conservatives.
ReplyDelete6382 to the Conseratives
ReplyDelete5211 win for the Tories
ReplyDelete2500 Tories to win
ReplyDelete2,745 for the Conservatives
ReplyDelete3,975 to the Conservatives
ReplyDelete3274 Maj to Edward Timpson
ReplyDelete